DEC. 10 2013 (The Conway Bulletin) — Gulnara Karimova, the flamboyant and outlandish eldest daughter of Uzbek President Islam Karimov, appears to be locked in a power struggle in Uzbekistan.
The authorities have closed down her various businesses and organisations and prosecuted her allies, leaving analysts wondering who her rivals are and who actual has the final say on succession issues.
Certainly not Mr Karimov, an exiled Uzbek human rights activist said. “The National Security Service controls everything in the country,” she said. “If a major power crisis hit the country it (the Uzbek security service) would decide who fills all the leading positions. They know who the next president will be.”
The head of Uzbekistan’s National Security Service is Rustam Inoyatov. He has held the position since 1995, accumulating much power and patronage. Analysts and media have said that Mr Inoyatov may be behind Ms Karimova’s recent problems.
A Central Asia security analyst also said that various external players may be able to influence who became Uzbekistan’s next president.
“Uzbekistan has significant gas and oil supply commitments to China, so Beijing will want to make sure that the next head of Uzbek state would not only honour those commitments but will also remain in the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation,” he said.
The Kremlin would also try to influence the decision-making process in Uzbekistan, the analyst said, just as it had in Ukraine and Georgia.
Conspicuously absent from this short list are the EU and the US. They just don’t have the same cache in Uzbekistan.
ENDS
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(News report from Issue No. 164, published on Dec. 11 2013)