Tag Archives: Uzbekistan

IS threat worsens in Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan

JULY 15 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Russian defence minister Sergei Shiogu said that if countries in Central Asia and the South Caucasus ever sink into Syria-like civil war scenarios, Russia will use its military to intervene. Russia has carried out airstrikes in Syria against the IS extremist group. According to official sources, the number of South Caucasus and Central Asian citizens fighting for IS in Syria is rising.

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(News report from Issue No. 290, published on July 22 2016)

Uzbekistan’s GDP grows by 7.8%

JULY 19 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Uzbekistan’s Statistics Committee said that the country’s GDP grew by 7.8% in H1 2016, compared to the same period last year. Growth was slightly slower than in the first half of 2015, when GDP grew by 8.1%. Official statistics in Uzbekistan come with a health warning as they are often manipulated by the government.

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(News report from Issue No. 290, published on July 22 2016)

Uzbekistan to double fruit and vegetable production

JULY 12 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Uzbek PM Shavkat Mirziyoyev said that Uzbekistan aims to double production of fruits and vegetables by the end of 2020. Mr Mirziyoyev said that the country currently produces around 16m tonnes of produce and the government aims to boost output to at least 32m tonnes in the next three years. A word of caution, however. Statistics in Uzbekistan can be easily manipulated for political reasons.

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(News report from Issue No. 289, published on July 15 2016)

World Bank denies Uzbek forced-labour accusations

JULY 8 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — The World Bank denied allegations that it was fuelling forced labour in Uzbekistan after local human rights campaigners complained about the indirect consequences of a loan from the World Bank’s financial arm to an Uzbek-Indonesian textile joint venture.

The complaint targets a $40m loan approved in December 2015 by the International Finance Corporation (IFC) to Indorama Kokand Textile (IKT), the Uzbek subsidiary of Indorama TBK, a Jakarta-based textile company.

The IFC said that it gave the loan to IKT because it has verified the company’s labour practices.

“[IKT] can trace its cotton supply to ensure it sources only from areas covered by third-party monitoring against child and forced labor,” IFC spokeswoman Elizabeth Price told Reuters.

IKT also refuted the allegations.

“Indorama Corporation has a strict policy of zero tolerance on use of any form of forced labor,” IKT spokesman Prakash Kejriwal said.

The claimants are three local human rights campaigners and one Uzbek alleged victim of forced labour. They said that this loan would reinforce the system of forced labour in the country.

“The IFC loan to IKT and support to commercial banks in Uzbekistan risks perpetuating the forced labor system,” the claimants said in their statement filed with the IFC.

The loan was issued to finance the expansion of the company’s textile plant in Kokand, east Uzbekistan.

The claim highlights the reputational problems of doing business in Uzbekistan for foreign countries. It will likely direct international attention to the issue of forced labour in the country’s cotton picking industry. Uzpahtasanoateksport, the state owned company responsible for the collection and the sale of cotton, is IKT’s sole supplier.

Since 2009, the United States has banned imports of Uzbek cotton and in 2013 it blocked a shipment of IKT cotton at the port of Los Angeles.

Indorama TBK owns 89.26% of IKT, while Uzbekistan’s Central Bank owns the rest.

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(News report from Issue No. 289, published on July 15 2016)

Briefing: Tajikistan’s Rogun dam project

JULY 15 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — >>Right. Let’s get started. The Rogun Dam. What is it and what is it all about?

>>For Tajikistan and President Rakhmon, the Rogun dam project is vitally important. If it is ever built, and the plans have been knocking around since the Soviet era, the Rogun dam will be the tallest dam in the world at up to 335 m. It will also double Tajikistan’s power generation capacity. The problem is that the dam has proved highly controversial, domestically and internationally, and is also expensive to build.

>>Hang on. Slow down. This is a lot take on. So, Rogun is massive but why is it controversial?

>>It’s controversial because human rights group have accused the government of forcibly moving thousands of people away from the Vakhsh River valley, the area that will be dammed and flooded. The government has also imposed a Rogun dam tax on people to pay for the project. This has gone down badly with human rights groups. Externally, Uzbekistan, Tajikistan’s neighbour, hates the idea of the Rogun dam. It worries that the dam will divert water from irrigating its cotton fields.

>>How serious are Uzbekistan’s concerns?

>>Central Asia is a fragile region. If Uzbekistan is making threatening noises
towards Tajikistan, people need to take notice. Analysts and diplomats have spoken of water wars in Central Asia. I’m not saying that the Rogun dam is going to trigger a war but it is another pressure point that people need to watch.

>>Got it. So with all these obstacles and problems why is Tajikistan pushing for problems?

>>It’s become Rakhmon’s pet project. He probably has another five or ten years left in office and it really feels like he wants and needs the Rogun dam to be his legacy. It’s also become vitally important for Tajikistan’s electricity generation sector. Electricity is becoming an important export commodity for Tajikistan as it has signed up to be the main power generator for the so-called CASA-1000 project.

>>CASA-1000? What is that?

>>It’s the World Bank-backed project to build a power transmission network from Tajikistan to Pakistan. It will cost around $1.2b, cross Afghanistan and be operational, if it all goes to plan, by 2019. The challenge is both security and power generation.CurrentlyTajikistan, and to a lesser extent Kyrgyzstan, doesn’t have the capacity to generate enough power to meet its CASA- 1000 commitments. That’s where Rogun comes in.

>>And the financing? This seems to be an expensive project just when the region is trying to deal with a financial crisis. Where is the finance coming from?

>>Good question. We’re not entirely clear. We’ve only been told that it is a mix of government funds and private investment. Who the private investors are and what their motives are is unknown.

>>I see. So what next?

>>Well, the Tajik government awarded a $3.9b contract to Italian builder Salini Impregilo to start construction work on the dam. We’re still waiting for work to begin but Salini Impregilo has said it will kick off soon. This has been a stop-start project so actually seeing the diggers go in and the workers start to build the dam is important. If this does happen, it’ll dominate news headlines for years to come.

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(News report from Issue No. 289, published on July 15 2016)

Car sales drop in Uzbekistan

JULY 12 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — US-Uzbek joint venture GM Uzbekistan sold 34.5% fewer cars in the Russian market in June 2016, compared to the same month last year, a sign of continued market weakness and possibly of rumoured management problems. GM Uzbekistan’s exports to Russia are down 17% in H1 2016, compared to a drop of 14% for total car sales in Russia. This year, GM Uzbekistan’s director was arrested for allegedly creating an illegal sale scheme for cars earmarked for export.

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(News report from Issue No. 289, published on July 15 2016)

Azerbaijani, Kazakh and Uzbek ministers meet in Astana

JULY 12 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — With the exception of Turkmenistan, foreign ministers of the Caspian Sea littoral states met in Astana to continue drafting a resolution which should resolve ongoing disputes over the legal status of the Caspian. Kazakh PM Karim Massimov also attended. The ministers said the convention will be signed at a heads of state meeting next year in Astana.

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(News report from Issue No. 289, published on July 15 2016)

Uzbek President’s daughter loses $300m

JULY 6 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Dutch prosecutors asked a court in Amsterdam to confiscate €300m ($333m) from Gibraltar-registered Takilant, a company linked to Gulnara Karimova, the eldest daughter of Uzbekistan’s president. Takilant allegedly received bribes in 2007/8 from Sweden’s Telia Company (then called TeliaSonera) and Russia’s VimpelCom to award mobile licenses in Uzbekistan. Dutch prosecutors asked the court to impose a €5m ($5.5) fine on Takilant and seize its 6% stake in Ucell, an Uzbek subsidiary of Telia Company. VimpelCom is registered in the Netherlands.

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(News report from Issue No. 288, published on July 8 2016)

Uzbek CBank orders foreign cash limit

JULY 5 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Uzbekistan’s Central Bank ordered banks to impose a $300 monthly limit on card withdrawals abroad, possibly an effort to limit exchange rate speculation. The previous limit was set at $100/day. Uzbeks typically withdraw cash in US dollars and local currencies when travelling abroad to hoard and hedge against the sum currency, which has steadily weakened against the US dollar in recent months.

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(News report from Issue No. 288, published on July 8 2016)

Turkey says two Kyrgyz and Uzbek citizens attacked Istanbul airport

BISHKEK, JUNE 30 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Turkish security forces said that two of the three attackers at Istanbul’s international airport on Tuesday were from Central Asia, highlighting Islamic extremist recruitment in the region.

At least 44 people died and another 240 people were injured when the three attackers opened fire with machine guns outside the terminal building and then blew themselves up. Nobody has claimed responsibility, although the radical IS group is the main suspect.

The Turkish government has now said one of the attackers was from the North Caucasus and the others were from Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan. Uzbekistan has not commented; Kyrgyzstan initially denied a connection.

But analysts said that if two of the attackers were proved to be from Central Asia, it would show the increasingly effective recruitment network IS has developed in the region.

Anna Matveeva of King’s College London said Central Asia had become one of IS’s main recruitment pools because of its various social problems and the marginalisation of pious Muslims.

“Radicalisation and violence is definitely on the rise in Central Asia,” she said. “I think this phenomenon is growing.”

Central Asian governments are worried about the rise in IS recruitment in the area.

In 2015, a senior Tajik police commander defected to IS. Last month, the Kazakh government blamed an attack in Aktobe, in the northwest of the country, on a group which had links with Syria.

Analysts have said part of the problem is that security forces in Central Asia don’t coordinate effectively.

Kate Mallinson, a Central Asia analyst at London-based GPW, said if proved that two of the Istanbul attackers were from Uzbekistan and Kyrgyzstan there was likely to be a reaction by the security forces.

“The tragic attack in Istanbul will give the Central Asian governments further carte blanche in their application of punitive measures against Islamic movements in the Central Asian region,” she said.

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(News report from Issue No. 287, published on July 1 2016)