Tag Archives: Tajikistan

Russia boosts assistance to Tajikistan

FEB. 3 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Russia’s deputy defence minister Anatoly Antonov said that Russia would supply Tajikistan with all the equipment and intelligence that it needed to fend off various threats from the Taliban who are looking increasingly powerful. Mr Antonov made the promise on a trip to Tajikistan a few days after news that Taliban forces in Afghanistan had attacked a power-line running from Uzbekistan to Kabul. Central Asian states are increasingly worried about a resurgent Taliban.

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(News report from Issue No. 266, published on Feb. 5 2016)

First petrol from Iran arrives in Tajikistan

FEB. 3 2016, DUSHANBE (The Conway Bulletin) — Iran shipped its first batch of petrol to Tajikistan, a deal both countries credited to the lifting of Western sanctions.

It’s also, importantly, more evidence of the impact that post-sanctions Iran is having on Central Asia and the South Caucasus. Reports from across the region have shown a sharp increase in trade with Iran since the US and the European Union lifted sanctions on Jan. 16.

These deals have included an agreement with Kazakh airline Air Astana, grPain agreements with Kazakhstan, trade arrangements with Armenia and the arrival of the first train, via Central Asia, direct from China in Iran.

But it is, perhaps, petrol exports to the Central Asia/South Caucasus region where Iran can have the biggest impact.

Officials from the National Iranian Oil Products Distribution Company told local media the shipment of petrol to Tajikistan measured 2.9m litres, a volume they could maintain on a daily basis. If it did send this amount of petrol to Tajikistan every day, Iran’s petrol exports would measure around 750,000 tonnes a year. This roughly equals Tajikistan’s total current consumption. It had previously imported most of its petrol from Russia.

Mohammad-Mehdi Gharaei, director of the distribution company, told media that Tajikistan had asked for the petrol products. “In view of the [post-sanctions] conditions, Tajikistan requested in early February to purchase Iranian gasoline,” he said.

Iran sent petrol to Tajikistan on trucks through Afghanistan.

Iran is a net importer of petrol. This, though, will change later this year when a new super-sized refinery opens on the Persian Gulf. This refinery will turn Iran into a petrol exporter and Central Asia and the South Caucasus will be a prime target market. They just don’t have enough refinery capacity.

Iman Nasseri, of FGE energy consultancy in London, said Iran is looking to capture market share.

“In the post-sanctions era we expect more shipments from Iran. Most of these might have been discussed and negotiated before sanctions were lifted,” Mr Nasseri told The Bulletin.

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(News report from Issue No. 266, published on Feb. 5 2016)

Tajikistan to rename cities

FEB. 1 2016, DUSHANBE (The Conway Bulletin) — Tajikistan’s President Emomali Rakhmon ordered Parliament to rename a number of cities, regions and a reservoir to give them more of a Tajik flavour.

Since becoming an independent state in 1991, the Tajik government has been keen to build up a back-story for the country. It replaced most of the Russian place names with names mostly derived from the Samanid Empire (819-919), a common tactic in Central Asia which had not been independent countries before 1991.

In 2007 Rakhmon also dropped the Russian suffix ‘ov’ from his name.

His press office said: “The renaming of districts and cities promotes national values and a sense of dignity. It is especially important to educate younger generations about the rich culture of the ancestors of the modern statehood of Tajik people.”

But not everybody thinks it is such a good idea.

Dushanbe taxi driver Odilbek, 38, said it was a waste of money. “These people do not understand what they are doing,” he said. “We have more serious problems and this is a waste of money. People will call the cities by their old names anyway.”

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(News report from Issue No. 266, published on Feb. 5 2016)

Editorial: Iranian oil for Tajikistan

FEB. 5 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Iran is emerging from its economic exile with force and its impact is being felt across Central Asia and the South Caucasus.

The new petrol export deal with Tajikistan, together with recent deals with Kazakhstan’s Air Astana and the negotiations with Armenia and Georgia over gas supplies, is a testimony of the importance that countries in the region give to Iran as a trade partner.

Iran is still a net importer of gasoline but it is now close to opening a new 18m tonnes refinery on the Persian Gulf coast, which officials say “will change the gasoline balance in Iran” and could possibly turn the country into a net exporter.

For countries like Tajikistan this is good news as it means that Iran could become a supplier of oil for both Central Asia and the South Caucasus.

Tajikistan has previously bought all its refined petrol from Russia. With Iran’s re-emergence onto the scene this over-reliance on its former colonial master is reduced, giving Tajikistan a genuine choice on where to buys its petrol.

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(Editorial from Issue No. 266, published on Feb. 5 2016)

Tajikistan makes constitutional changes

FEB. 4 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) -Tajikistan’s Constitutional Court approved changes to the country’s constitution that removed a limit on the number of times that a person can be president. The amendments will mean that Pres. Emomali Rakhmon is now eligible to run for president again at the next election in 2020. He has been in power since the mid-1990s. Tajik lawmakers are also looking into changing the constitution to allow people under the age of 35 to run for president. This would allow Mr Rakhmon’s son to stand in 2020. Analysts have said that Mr Rakhmon is hedging his bets before he decides if he wants to run or not.

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(News report from Issue No. 266, published on Feb. 5 2016)

Tajikistan pays remittances in somoni

FEB. 3 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Tajikistan’s Central Bank ordered all remittances sent from Russia to be paid out in the local somoni currency. The Central Bank said the move was designed to support the somoni. It has lost around a third of its value over the past few months. Remittances to Tajikistan, vital to the economy, are down. Russia is the main source of remittances.

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(News report from Issue No. 266, published on Feb. 5 2016)

IMF draws funding plan for Tajik Rogun

FEB. 4 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – IMF representatives met with Tajik government officials in Dushanbe to draw up funding plans for the $2b Rogun hydropower plant. The IMF has said that the World Bank-backed Rogun project, strengthening its banking sector and diversifying the economy are priorities for Tajikistan. Down- stream Uzbekistan has lobbied hard against the Rogun dam.

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(News report from Issue No. 266, published on Feb. 5 2016)

Editorial: Tajik place names

FEB. 5 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – National identity for the countries of Central Asia is still a major issue, far more so than for their neighbours in the South Caucasus.

When independence was thrust on the five Central Asian states in 1991, the leaders of these newly created countries had to build a sense of nation- hood from scratch.

And so they turned to their history books. They dug up some famous names from the past and wrote them up as national heroes and icons.

For Tajikistan, the most significant national hero was Ismail Somoni, the founder of the Samanid dynasty. Tajik officials have pinned their national story, the narrative that they use to give people a sense of nationhood, around the Samanid dynasty. A statue of Somoni dominates central Dushanbe and the national airline and currency are all named after him, as are a host of other institutions and buildings.

Branding is important, even for a country, and Pres. Emomali Rakhmon is probably right to pursue it. He has to make sure, though, that branding doesn’t distract from governing.

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(Editorial from Issue No. 266, published on Feb. 5 2016)

Taliban attack Uzbek-Afghan power line

JAN. 26 2016, DUSHANBE (The Conway Bulletin) — Taliban militants attacked and badly damaged a power line sending electricity to Afghanistan from Uzbekistan, a warning sign for Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan who are hoping to develop a power-supply network to Pakistan across Afghan territory.

The attack in the northern Baghlan district cut power to Kabul and underlined the Taliban’s ability to attack targets, seemingly at will, in the north of the country. Last year it captured the town of Kunduz near the border with Tajikistan. Russia and Central Asian governments have warned that a powerful Taliban threatens to destabilise the region.

Afghanistan has become an increasingly important trade and diplomatic partner for Central Asia. It has developed a series of power supply deals with Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan. Most ambitiously Afghanistan will also host an electricity power line running from Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan to Pakistan, dubbed CASA-1000, and a gas pipeline running from Turkmenistan to India, called TAPI.

Both projects need a stable Afghanistan to be successful. The attack on the power line running from Uzbekistan to Afghanistan has severely reduced electricity to Kabul in the short-run and will make policy makers in Central Asia the West nervous in the long-run.

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(News report from Issue No. 265, published on Jan. 29 2016)

Tajik President promotes his daughter

JAN. 27 2016, DUSHANBE (The Conway Bulletin) — Tajik president Emomali Rakhmon appointed his daughter, Ozoda, as head of the Presidential Administration, drawing accusations of nepotism.

Mr Rakhmon has form with appointing family members and friends to important government posts. One of his two sons, Rustam, is head of the government’s anti-corruption agency and had been head of the Tajik football association.

Earlier this month, Tajik MPs also voted to change the country’s constitution and lower the minimum age that a person can stand to be president to 30 from 35. This would allow Rustam, aged 28, to stand for president in 2020.

As for Ozoda, little is known about her. She had previously been a deputy foreign minister and her husband is the deputy head of the Central Bank. She has also studied in the United States.

Mr Rakhmon has been in power in Tajikistan since the end of a civil war in the mid-1990s. He is accused of setting up an authoritarian state. Last year Mr Rakhmon effectively closed down the only legal opposition party, consolidating his grip on power.

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(News report from Issue No. 265, published on Jan. 29 2016)