Tag Archives: security

Analysts warn of Azerbaijan- Armenia war

JULY 5 2017 (The Bulletin) — Azerbaijan and Armenia are drifting towards war over the disputed region of Nagorno-Karabakh, analysts warned after a shell killed a grandmother and her grandchild on the Azerbaijani side of the conflict. Azerbaijan accused the Armenian side of shelling civilians. Armenia-backed rebels said that Azerbaijan had deployed weapons deliberately close to civilians. Commentators have been warning throughout the year that tension in the region is close to triggering another major outbreak of violence. This last exploded in April 2016.

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(News report from Issue No. 336, published on July 16 2017)

 

Russian tourists flock to Georgian breakaway region of Abkhazia

SUKHUMI/Georgia, JULY 16 2017 (The Bulletin) — Russian tourists are flocking to beach resorts in Abkhazia at a greater rate than ever before, giving the breakaway Georgian region an economic boost.

Russian couples walk along Sukhumi’s beachfront promenade and sip Abkhaz wine in newly renovated restaurants. Russian is the main language heard on the streets, shops are filled with Russian products and Russian newspapers are available in local newsagents. The currency used is the Russian rouble.

Abkhazia looks, feels and sounds like a piece of Russia and local residents are, mainly, grateful.

A tourist guide in Novy Afon, around 20km north of Sukhumi told the Bulletin : “Thank God there are the Russians. Not only did they save us when the Georgians wanted to exterminate us but now they make our economy run through tourism.”

It declared independence from Georgia in 1992, triggering a war that killed and displaced thousands of people and lead to a de facto independence. In 2008 after a war with Georgia focused on its two rebel states of Abkhazia and South Ossetia, Russia recognised them as independent. Only a handful of other countries looking to curry Russian favours followed.

Moscow subsidises Abkhazia’s state budget and has thousands of troops permanently deployed in the region.

Other than the military and the breakaway region’s administration, bankrolled by the Kremlin, there are few other jobs in Abkhazia, making Russian tourists so important.

And they are coming in their thousands, all via a border crossing with Russia to the north. Last year Avtandil Gartskiya, the tourism minister told the New York Times in an interview that he expected 1.5m tourists per year, up from less than 100,000 a decade ago.

By contrast, references to Georgia have been eradicated, or nearly.

The cuisine gives away Abkhazia’s Georgian connection. Georgia’s food icon, the Ajarian Khachapuri, a boat shaped crusty bread filled with melted cheese and egg, is a firm favourite with the Russian tourists. It’s been subjected to a rebrand, though, and is called ‘lodochka s yaizom’. In English, this simply means ‘boat with egg’.

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(News report from Issue No. 336, published on July 16 2017)

 

Uzbekistan has no plans to rejoin the CSTO

TASHKENT, JULY 3/5 2017 (The Bulletin) — Uzbekistan will not rejoin the Russia-led CSTO military group despite improved relations with its neighbours, Uzbek foreign minister Abdulaziz Kamilov said.

He was speaking after growing speculation that Uzbekistan was looking for a more prominent military role. Earlier, Uzbekistan had said that it was due to hold military exercises with Russia for the first time since 2005.

The CSTO, short for the Collective Security Treaty Organisation, was formed in 1992 after the break up of the Soviet Union and is mainly used as a mechanism for sharing military exercises. Although a rapid reaction force was set up in 2009, it has been criticised for not deploying forces, most notably during ethnic riots in Osh, south Kyrgyzstan, in 2010 that killed hundreds of people.

During a TV interview, Mr Kamilov said: “The question of renewing our CSTO membership is not on the agenda. There are no plans to discuss or review this matter in the future.”

Analysts had speculated that President Shavkat Mirziyoyev, in power since September 2016, may look to reengage with the CSTO. He has generally opened up Uzbekistan since taking power.

Uzbekistan suspended its membership of the CSTO between 1999 and 2006 and quit altogether in 2012. In August 2012, the Uzbek parliament voted to ban Uzbekistan from joining military alliances, including the CSTO. At the time, Uzbekistan was earning billions of dollars as an exit corridor for NATO equipment leaving Afghanistan.

Along with Russia, Belarus, Armenia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan are also members.

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(News report from Issue No. 336, published on July 16 2017)

 

Kazakh-US deal extends military cooperation

JULY 5 2017 (The Bulletin) — After a meeting in Washington DC, officials from Kazakhstan and the US signed a deal to extend military cooperation between the two countries until 2022. No details of the cooperation were released although Kazakh and US armies do hold joint exercises. Over the last few years, Kazakhstan has been improving its military deals with Russia.

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(News report from Issue No. 336, published on July 16 2017)

 

Tajikistan confirms death of former police relatives

JULY 5 2017 (The Bulletin) — The authorities in Tajikistan said that police had fought and killed four relatives of former Tajik police commander Gulmurod Halimov who joined IS in Syria in 2015. They said that the four relatives, two of Halimov’s brothers and two cousins, were involved in a gunfight with police on July 4 in the Vosa district, 25km from Dushanbe. Reports do not clarify what triggered the gunfire.

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(News report from Issue No. 336, published on July 16 2017)

 

Estonian president accuses West of failing Georgia in 2008

TBILISI, JULY 5 2017 (The Bulletin) — In almost her first act as President of the Council of the European Union, Kersti Kaljulaid, Estonia’s president, accused the West of failing to stand up to Russia during its war with Georgia in 2008.

In an interview with Euronews, Ms Kaljulaid said that the failure of the US and Europe to defend Georgia had sent a message to Russian President Vladimir Putin that he could use force to project Russia’s influence over its near abroad. She directly linked Russia’s annexation of the Crimea in 2014 and its support for rebels in east Ukraine with apparent Western indifference towards Georgia six years earlier.

“In Georgia, I believe that the Western world made an error because they didn’t see that they are teaching the wrong lesson,” she said. “In Georgia, Russia learned that if you act, the reaction is relatively mild. And so the avalanche arrived in Crimea.”

The comments will jar with Western leaders who blamed an overzealous Mikheil Saakashvili, then Georgia’s president, for triggering a war with Russia that focused on the rebel region of South Ossetia. Several hundred people died in the short war and thousands were forced to flee their homes when Russian forces pushed back the Georgian army. It was able to set up positions deep inside Georgia and destroy Georgian military equipment and bases before pulling back into Russia.

The upshot of the war was that Russia recognised both Georgia’s rebel states, South Ossetia and Abkhazia, as independent. Only a handful of other countries, and importantly none from the FSU, have followed this lead.

Like scraping off an old scab, Ms Kaljulaid’s comments are painful and important. They reveal the nervousness of ex-Soviet countries, now aligned with the West, towards Russia. These countries consider the Kremlin to be their greatest threat.

“Every country has the right to decide with whom they do business, with whom they associate themselves,” she said. “This does not suit him [Putin]. He is out to change it.”

Estonia holds the Presidency of the Council of the European Union for six months.

The war with Russia marked the beginning of the end for Mr Saakashvili. He had been something of a poster-boy in the West but in the run up to the war had been accused of overstepping his mandate.

By 2012 Mr Saakashvili’s United National Movement party had lost its majority in parliament to the Georgian Dream and by 2013 also the presidency. He is now living in exile, accused by the Georgian authorities of various financial crimes.

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(News report from Issue No. 336, published on July 16 2017)

Russia sends missiles to Azerbaijan

JUNE 24 2017 (The Bulletin) — Russia has sent a batch of new anti- tank missiles to Azerbaijan, the Azerbaijani defence ministry said. It released a video of half a dozen mechanised anti-tank vehicles being unloaded in Baku. Russia has previously been accused of propagating a war between Azerbaijan and Armenia over the disputed region of Nagorno- Karabakh in order to sell more weapons.

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(News report from Issue No. 335, published on July 3 2017)

Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan deny peacekeeping press reports

JUNE 23 2017 (The Bulletin) — Kazakh and Kyrgyz officials denied earlier press reports which said that they had been asked to provide peacekeeper soldiers for a force in Syria. Earlier reports had quoted Turkish and Russian sources as saying that both Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan had been asked to provide military support to a peacekeeping force in Syria. The Kazakh and Kyrgyz militaries have limited, if any, experience of peacekeeping operations.

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(News report from Issue No. 334, published on June 26 2017)

 

US embassy warns Tajikistan

JUNE 16 2017 (The Bulletin) — The US Embassy in Dushanbe said that the chances of a terrorist attack in Tajikistan had increased over the past six to 12 months. It said: “A range of terrorist organizations might seek to conduct attacks in the territory of Tajikistan, including against U.S. interests and the US Embassy.” The US embassy has previously issued terrorist attack warn- ings for Tajikistan.

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(News report from Issue No. 334, published on June 26 2017)

Kazakhstan strips IS fighters of citizenship

JUNE 22 2017 (The Bulletin) — Kazakhstan’s upper house of parliament approved a bill that will strip people accused of fighting for the extremist IS group in Syria and Iraq of their citizenship. The Kazakh authorities are increasingly worried about returnees from Syria and Iraq spreading radical ideology and fighting techniques if, and when, they move back to Kazakhstan.

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(News report from Issue No. 334, published on June 26 2017)