SEPT. 30 2015, TBILISI (The Conway Bulletin) — Real estate prices in the Georgian capital have fallen by 15% this year, a drop that industry insiders blame on the collapse in the value of the lari currency.
In an interview with The Conway Bulletin, Anna Jalagonia, president of the Georgian Association of Realtors, said a 40% fall in the lari since last summer had spooked foreign investors.
“Investors prefer to wait because of the unstable situation in the country,” she said.
This bodes badly for Georgia, whose economy is to a large extent dependent on foreign investment.
Like the rest of the region, a slump in oil prices and the sluggish economic performance of Russia, the region’s main driver, has undermined Georgia’s economy. The Central Bank has spent millions of dollars trying to protect the value of the lari, inflation is rising and GDP growth rates are being revised down.
Neli Goguadze, director of the real estate agency Kibe, said that the situation in Georgia’s real estate sector had reached a tipping point.
“The problems began a few months ago due to the devaluation of the national currency,” she said. “For there to be a revival, the market needs a serious boost.”
Last month, the Central Bank increased its key interest rate to 7%, it’s highest rate since December 2011, as it tried to support the lari.
But some real estate analysts said that this interest rate increase may actually cause more problems.
“Real estate transactions are usually made in US Dollars,” said Papuna Kokhtashvili, owner of the Georgian franchise of US-based RE/MAX Property Advisors. “The increase in interest rate for loans results in a reduction of demand for property.”
And is could get worse, as Ms Jalagonia of the Association of Realtors explained during her interview.
“At the end of the year the situation will be worse as the national currency rate will continue to influence the market and winter and the fall are usually slow times for real estate acquisition. That combined will be a problem,” she said. “Prices for residential real estate have already fallen by about 15% and will continue to decline.”
ENDS
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(News report from Issue No. 250, published on Oct. 2 2015)