FEB. 19 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Dealings at Kazakhstan’s state-owned energy company Kazmunaigas can give a deep insight into the country’s oil sector.
Last week, KMG EP, Kazmunaigas’ subsidiary dedicated to exploration and production, said in a statement it obtained a price increase for the oil it shipped in 2015 to the refineries of Atyrau and Pavlodar.
KMG RM, another Kazmunaigas subsidiary which manages the refineries, will now pay 37,000 tenge (around $105) per tonne of oil delivered to both refineries in 2015. This represents an increase of 74% in the case of the Atyrau refinery and 16% for Pavlodar, compared to an earlier agreement, which had not been approved by KMG EP’s independent directors.
KMG EP, which produces around 12m tonnes/year, sends around 2m tonnes to the Atyrau and Pavlodar refineries annually.
But the picture seems much less rosy for 2016. KMG EP said it will receive only 17,100 tenge/tonne ($48) from Atyrau and 31,923 tenge/tonne ($91) from Pavlodar this year, a steep fall from 2015’s revised prices. Although the company said these figures are not yet approved by its independent directors, this foreshadows another set of lengthy negotiations to bring the price back up.
The internal battle for profit margins within Kazmunaigas in this era of low oil prices looks like a battle for scraps. And in 2016, Kazakhstan forecasts a fall in production and lower prices for crude oil to be refined.
This may dent the budget of KMG EP, although it will be bolstered, overall, by a devaluation in the tenge. It earns cash in US dollars and pays most of its workers in tenge.
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(News report from Issue No. 269, published on Feb. 26 2016)