Tag Archives: Kazakhstan

Kazakh Central Bank wants loans in tenge

SEPT. 23 2015, ALMATY (The Conway Bulletin) — The Kazakh Central Bank presented a bill to parliament that will force people to take loans in tenge, a tactic it says is necessary to wean the economy off its addiction to US dollars.

Shaken by a 40% drop in the value of the tenge over the past 18 months, the Central Bank wants to ensure that commercial banks do not accrue a large amount of bad loans in US dollars as they did during the 2008/9 Global Financial crisis.

“This is an effort to protect customer’s rights and to decrease the rate of non-performing loans for second-tier banks,” Kuat Kozhakhmetov, deputy chairman of the Central Bank, said when he presented the bill to the parliament.

If the bill becomes law, people who have not earned their salary in a foreign currency for the 6 months before asking for a loan will will only be able to apply for a tenge loan.

According to a recent IMF study, almost 60% of the total loans issued by financial institutions in Kazakhstan are denominated in a foreign currency. The Central Bank also said that 14% of mortgages are currently denominated in foreign currencies.

People in Kazakhstan have used foreign currency loans to buy goods indexed to the US dollar or the Russian rouble, such as houses or cars. Salaries are often paid in tenge but are indexed to the US dollar.

A fall it the value of oil and a slump in the Russian economy has pressured the tenge and other regional currencies. Loans taken out in US dollars have become much more expensive to service.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 249, published on Sept. 25 2015)

TeliaSonera companies reassure Kazakh, Uzbek, Azerbaijani customers

ALMATY, SEPT. 18-21 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) — Shortly after Swedish telecoms TeliaSonera said last week it was leaving Central Asia and the South Caucasus, its local brands were quickly reassuring worried customers they were not quitting altogether.

Azercell, Geocell, Kcell, Tcell and Ucell, TeliaSonera’s assets in Azerbaijan, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan, all issued statements saying they will continue to operate.

Rumours still swirled but they focused on who would takeover TeliaSonera’s assets. Turkcell, which through Fintur is already a stakeholder in Azercell, Geocell and Kcell, is favourite. TeliaSonera also owns a stake in Fintur.

“To explore our strategic options to acquire the remaining stake in Fintur, we have initiated the process to appoint a strategic and financial advisor,” Turkcell said.

Analysts had mixed reaction. Some said TeliaSonera’s assets would attract decent bids, others that the poor state of the Kazakh economy would undermine their value.

Alexander Vasiliyev, editor of the website Profit.kz said Kcell would be a good buy for a global telecoms company.

“It continues to lay golden eggs, it is the largest player in the Kazakh market,” he told Kapital.kz.

Aivar Baikenov, Head of Research at Asyl-Invest, disagreed. He singled out the drop in the value of the Kazakh tenge, down 40% in a year, as a major problem.

“Kazakhstan is not attractive for foreign investors due to the devaluing tenge. I suppose Kcell could be interesting for local or maybe Russian investors,” he said.

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(News report from Issue No. 249, published on Sept. 25 2015)

Ukraine complains to Kazakhstan over map

SEPT. 25 2015, ALMATY (The Conway Bulletin) — Ukraine’s embassy in Astana sent an official protest note to the Kazakh foreign ministry after a school text book published a map of Russia showing the annexed region of Crimea to be firmly within its borders.

The map touched off a row that not only threatens to derail relations between Ukraine and Kazakhstan but also highlights the sensitive diplomatic tightrope that former Soviet states have to walk. Russia is the main economic driver of growth in Central Asia but Kazakhstan, and others, also need to maintain good relations with the West which firmly backs the Ukrainian government against the Kremlin.

“The Ukrainian Embassy has sent a note of protest to Kazakhstan’s foreign ministry because school books issued by the Mektep publishing house say the Autonomous Republic of Crimea is a federal subject of the Russian Federation,” Ukraine’s statement said.

“The distribution of this information contradicts the position of the international community and Kazakhstan that has repeatedly stated its support to Ukraine’s territorial integrity.”

Mektep is one of the biggest publishers of school textbooks in Kazakhstan. Its textbooks are used across the country and are based on the school curriculum.

The map, published in a geography textbook aimed at 16-year-olds earlier this year, showed Crimea as part of Russia.

Crimea quit Ukraine last year after a referendum overwhelmingly supported joining Russia. The referendum, though, has not been recognised by Kiev or its Western allies. Since then a civil war in the east of Ukraine has pushed relations between the West and Russia to a post-Cold War low.

Only a few countries, such as Syria, North Korea and Venezuela recognise Crimea as part of Russia. Kazakhstan, officially, has been careful not to recognise it as part of Russia.

When contacted by a Bulletin correspondent in Kazakhstan, the Mektep publishing house declined to comment. A couple of the book’s authors had previously spoken to RFE/RL, though.

They defended the map by saying that it wasn’t meant to be a political statement but instead to reflect the results of last year’s referendum.

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(News report from Issue No. 249, published on Sept. 25 2015)

Japan and Kazakhstan push on nuclear test ban

SEPT. 23 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) – Japan and Kazakhstan will co-chair a conference in New York later this month which will push for a comprehensive ban on nuclear testing, UN official Lassina Zerbo told Japan Times in an interview. Both countries have a vested interested in nuclear issues. The US dropped two atomic bombs on Japan in 1945 towards the end of World War 2. Kazakhstan sees itself as the champion of anti-nuclear issues.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 249, published on Sept. 25 2015)

Kazakh gas utility to issue bond

SEPT. 18 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) — KazTransGaz Aimak, a subsidiary of Kazakhstan’s state-owned gas transit system, said it plans to issue Eurobonds for 5b tenge ($18.6m) to refinance its outstanding debt. KazTransGas Aimak, which controls the gas distribution system in the Almaty region, has an outstanding bonds issue of 8.6b tenge ($31.9m) maturing in December 2018.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 249, published on Sept. 25 2015)

Kazakhstan’s Potash cuts assets

SEPT. 23 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) — Kazakhstan Potash Corporation, an Australia-listed mineral exploration company focused on Kazakhstan and Australia, said its assets had been overvalued by $302m in its half-year report. Mining companies operating in Central Asia have come under pressure to devalue their assets as local currencies have lost value.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 249, published on Sept. 25 2015)

Russian mining company to buy stake in Kazakhstan

SEPT. 22 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) — Russian mining company Polymetal offered Sumeru Gold $300m for its 50% stake in the Kyzyl gold project in Kazakhstan. Sumeru Gold is linked to Timur Kulibayev, a high profile Kazakh businessman and son- in-law of Kazakhstan’s President Nursultan Nazarbayev. The deal will mean Sumeru Gold also gives up its 7.4% share in Polymetal.

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(News report from Issue No. 249, published on Sept. 25 2015)

Kazakhstan investigates drowning

SEPT. 21 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) – The Kazakh authorities have launched an investigation into the drowning of four soldiers last week during an amphibious exercise on the Caspian Sea shore, media reported. Kazakhstan has pledged to improve and modernise its military. Like other armies in the former Soviet Union, allegations of corruption and bullying plague its armed forces.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 249, published on Sept. 25 2015)

Currency: Kazakh tenge, Kyrgyz som

SEPT. 18 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) — Have the Kazakh tenge and the Kyrgyz som reached rock bottom yet? This week, the tenge in Kazakhstan suffered another strong fall (-4.4%). The cost of $1 even rose above the psychological rate of 300 tenge on Sept. 16, only to settle back down to around 270 by the end of the week.

The Kyrgyz som also hit a historical high of 70/$1 on Wednesday.

And this despite repeated interventions from both Central Banks, which bought hundreds of millions of dollars in the currency market to support the tenge and som.

At the end of last week, the announcement that Dariga Nazarbayeva, the eldest daughter of Kazakh president Nursultan Nazarbayev, had been appointed as deputy PM sparked a late round of trade in the dollar market, weakening the tenge. Was this the market saying that they were worried about her promotion? Some analysts said that President Nazarbayev may be grooming her to take over the top job.

The som is struggling because the Russian economy isn’t recovering and the upcoming parliamentary elections in Kyrgyzstan are upset- ting the market.

In Georgia, the lari lost 2.4%, probably linked to general Emerging Markets weakness.

The Fed hasn’t ruled out the possibility of increasing rates by the end of the year. Such a decision would divert US dollars back to the US economy, away from Emerging Markets. The faltering economies in Central Asia and the South Caucasus need to prepare themselves for the worst.

Tightly-managed currencies in Azerbaijan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan remained vir- tually unchanged this week. To maintain the exchange rates constant, central bankers in these countries had to heavily intervene in the currency markets.

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(News report from Issue No. 248, published on Sept. 18 2015)

Stock market: Centerra Gold, KAZ Minerals

SEPT. 11-18 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) — Canadian mining company Centerra Gold saw its stock price on the Toronto Stock Exchange jump over 16% to 7.34 Canadian dollars, after having slumped in the past three weeks, due to the signing of a new exploration licence in British Columbia. Centerra’s main asset, the Kumtor gold mine, is located in Kyrgyzstan. London listed KAZ Minerals, was down 6% to 152 pence due to low copper prices. Kazakhstan-focused Roxi Petroleum gained 4.4% this week, to 8.75 pence.

Kcell, one of Kazakhstan’s largest telecoms, lost 2% on Sept. 17 after its mother company TeliaSonera said it would leave Eurasian markets.

London-listed Bank of Georgia surged 3.9% this week to 1,907 pence. The GDR stock of Georgia’s TBC Bank lost 6.5% this week in London, down to $9.25 per share, though it had fallen to $9.11 on Sept. 14.

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(News report from Issue No. 248, published on Sept. 18 2015)