Tag Archives: Kazakhstan

IMF keen on privatisations in Kazakhstan

NOV. 20 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) – The IMF applauded Kazakhstan’s plans to sell off chunks of up to 50% in 43 high profile state-owned companies.

In a report, the IMF also said that ditching the tenge’s peg to the US dollar in August will push up inflation in the short term.

“The decision to float the exchange rate in August, followed by the introduction of a new policy interest rate (base rate) as the new monetary policy anchor in September, set in motion the process of modernizing the monetary policy framework,” the IMF said in its report.

Under pressure from depressed oil prices and a fall in the value of the rouble, the Kazakh Central Bank dropped its peg to the US dollar in August. The tenge plunged in value.

Strapped for cash, the Kazakh government said earlier this month that it wanted to sell off chunks of its biggest companies to private investors. The plan received a qualified endorsement from the IMF.

“We welcome these initiatives and the authorities’ objective of implementing the privatisation program competitively and in a way that ensures genuine private ownership and control,” it said.

The issue for investors is which stock market the government lists the shares on.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 258, published on Nov. 27 2015)

40,000 workers in Kazakhstan face threat

NOV. 23 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) – Kazakhstan’s energy minister Vladimir Shkolnik said 40,000 people working in the country’s oil and gas sector could lose their jobs next year if energy prices continued to stay low. He said the depressed price of oil had decimated the oil and gas sector.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 258, published on Nov. 27 2015)

Markets: De-dollarisation challenge

NOV. 24 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) — The share of foreign currency-denominated deposits in Kazakhstan increased from 55.5% in January 2015 to 65.9% at the end of October, according to Central Bank chief Daniyar Akishev.

The devaluation of the tenge vis-à- vis the US dollar motivated people to keep their savings in US dollars to preserve the value.

One ofMr Akishev’s main tasks is to restore confidence in the tenge, after the currency lost 40% of its value over the summer. The 65.9% mark will beMr Akishev’s starting point, the ratio when he took office after his predecessor Kairat Kelimbetov was sacked on Nov. 2. New regulations restricting mortgage loans in foreign currencies might help reduce dollarisation, but a new wave of non-performing loans will soon hit the banking sector. A painful reminder of the 2008/9 financial crisis.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 258, published on Nov. 27 2015)

Kazakh leader signs new employment law

NOV. 23 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) – Kazakh president Nursultan Nazarbayev signed into law changes to the country’s employment code that make it easier for companies to sack workers. The new law also makes industrial action harder to take. Businesses have said that the law is a necessary modernising step. Trade unions have said it is designed to undermine them.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 258, published on Nov. 27 2015)

VTB Bank injects $40m into Kazakh subsidiary

NOV. 20 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) — Russian lender VTB Bank said it had injected $40m into its Kazakh subsidiary to increase its total capitalisation by 44% to around 24b tenge ($78m). The move is more evidence of a worsening economic outlook. In the first three-quarters of the year, VTB Bank recorded losses of 791m tenge ($2.6m), compared to a 850m tenge profit in the same period last year ($4.6m at the time).

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 258, published on Nov. 27 2015)

CAML to expand in Kazakhstan

NOV. 23 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) — Copper producer Central Asia Metals said it received government approval for the expansion of its Kounrad project in central Kazakhstan. The company said construction works will start in March 2016 and the expansion will cost $19.5m. Central Asia Metals also said it is set to meet its production target of 12,000 tonnes in 2015, which would represent a 7.7% increase compared to 2014.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 258, published on Nov. 27 2015)

Tethys Petroleum extends Kazakhstan’s Olisol deadline

NOV. 25 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) — Canada-based Tethys Petroleum extended an exclusivity period by 14 days for Kazakhstan’s Olisol to submit final details of its $35m buyout offer to Dec. 7. Tethys has also now appointed Alexander Abramov and William Wells to its board meeting, a pre-condition of the offer.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 258, published on Nov. 27 2015)

Russia-Turkey row splits Central Asia + S.Caucasus

DEC. 3 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) – Russia is piling pressure on its partners in the Eurasian Economic Union (EEU) to join it in blocking Turkish trade across the region, a move that could fracture regional alliances.

After a Turkish fighter-jet shot down a Russian fighter-jet over Syria last month, Russian President Vladimir Putin promised revenge. This included a ban on Turkish exports to Russia.

To tighten the ban, Mr Putin needs his allies in the EEU — Armenia, Belarus, Kyrgyzstan and Kazakhstan — to stop Turkish goods transiting through their territories into Russia. But it’s a clarion call which is likely to prove divisive for Central Asia and the South Caucasus where Turkey has strong cultural, trade and diplomatic links.

Of the EEU members, Belarus is a natural ally of Russia and will support Moscow. As will Armenia, which has strained relations with Turkey.

For Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan the issue is more complicated. They have good relations with both Turkey and Russia and will likely try to appease both sides as Kazakh foreign minister Yerlan Idrissov has said.

“Emotions are running high, but my president, knowing Mr Putin very well personally and knowing his great potential to be constructive and knowing personally (Turkish) President Erdogan, believes and hopes they will think strategically in this very difficult situation,” he told Reuters in an interview.

Outside the EEU, Turkey is likely to find more supporters. Turkmenistan sees Turkey as a natural ally and has been building up a rapport with Ankara while its relations with Moscow have worsened. It wants to pump gas to Europe and this means crossingTurkey.

With its 2008 war with Russia still fresh in the memories, Georgia naturally leans towards Turkey.

Azerbaijan, though, is Turkey’s biggest ally in the region. The countries are close culturally, politically and economically. Their militaries also often train together.

Although relations with Russia have improved over the past couple of years, it didn’t take long for Azerbaijan to rally to Turkey’s cause.

Azerbaijan cut by 20% cargo tariffs for Turkish trucks travelling from Baku across the Caspian to Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan, a move that will irritate the Kremlin and exacerbate regional tension.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 259, published on Dec. 4 2015)

Stock market: Tethys, Nostrum, GHG

NOV. 27 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) — Oil producers suffered in the London stock market this week, due to mixed industrial announcements.

Tethys Petroleum shares lost 13% in one week closing at 4.25p on Friday. Nostrum Oil & Gas was on track to a similar fall after it lost 9% on Monday, recovering later in the week after it showed its investment plans for a new gas treatment facility. On Friday, Nostrum closed at 376p, down 3.5%. Roxi Petroleum shares closed at 7.75p on Friday, down 5% from last week.

Central Asia Metals lost 2.2% this week to close at 161.5p on Friday, while the other major miner in Kazakhstan, KAZ Minerals, gained 7.8% to 99.8p.

Newly-listed Georgia Healthcare Group lost around 2% this week to close at 177p on Friday.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 258, published on Nov. 27 2015)

Currencies: Kyrgyzstan’s som, Georgia’s lari

NOV. 27 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) — The only currency that moved substantially this week was the Kyrgyz som, which lost 2.3%, closing at 74/$1 on Friday.

The Kyrgyz Central Bank intervened heavily this week to prop up its currency, which looked like it was losing traction and could have spiralled downwards. During the day on Nov. 26, the exchange rate had surged to 77-79 som/dollar, which prompted the Central Bank to sell $7m in the currency market and enabled the currency to recover somewhat and move back to 74/$1.

Tolkunbek Abdygulov, the Central Bank chief, said this week the exchange rate was influenced by speculators.

All other currencies were stable.

In the South Caucasus, the Georgian lari maintained its level of 2.40/$1 and the Armenian dram was also stable at 480.8/$1.

In Central Asia, the Kazakh tenge floated at around 307/$1 throughout

the week. The Tajik somoni continued its gentle depreciation, and now trades at 6.7/$1.

The dollaruz.com website which monitored the Black Market rate for the Uzbek sum, appears to have closed.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 258, published on Nov. 27 2015)