SEPT. 21 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Despite countless declarations on efforts to save its banking sector, Kazakh banks are not as healthy as they say.

Last year, President Nursultan Nazarbayev instructed the Central Bank to conduct stress test to avoid a spiraling of non-performing loans similar to the crisis that followed the 2007/8 global debacle.

He had just sacked Kairat Kelimbetov, Mr Devaluation, the Central Bank chief under whom the tenge currency lost around half its value in two years.

The result of the declarations has been a sharp drop in the share of

bad loans in banks’ total portfolio. Officially, this week Kazakhstan’s Central Bank chief Daniyar Akishev said that non-performing loans had shrunk from around 30% two years ago to just 8.4%.

This raised eyebrows among analysts.

How could a broken system, hit by currency depreciation and toxic assets, recover so quickly, without undergoing a serious makeover?

The answer is simple, according to some: The problems were swept under the rug.

“Kazakhstan’s banking sector is a legalised zombie park,” an anonymous economist told Forbes Kazakhstan.

“In reality, bad loans make up around 60% of the total loan portfolio. But through refinancing, on paper, banks have written most of them off of their accounts.”

Notably, the most frequent and well attended protests in Kazakhstan for the past few years are organised by groups of mortgage holders. They mainly hold US dollar debt.

If their overdue loans are neither being refinanced, nor being accounted for, where are banks hiding them?

ENDS

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(News report from Issue No. 298, published on Sept. 30 2016)