AUG. 8 2012 (The Conway Bulletin) – Bucking a trend, Armenia’s Central Bank kept interest rates unchanged at 8% at its latest meeting.
Although the Central Bank said inflation has slowed to the bottom of its anticipated spectrum, it warned that expected grain price rises posed an inflationary risk. Drought in the major grain growing countries has pushed up prices across the world.
The last time Armenia’s Central Bank cut interest rates was September 2011. While neighbouring Central Banks have cut interest rates in tandem with a slowing global economy, Armenia has maintained a steady course.
Kazakhstan has cut its interest rate four times this year to a record low of 5.5%. Neighbouring Georgia cut its interest rate by 0.25% in April, May and June.
Explaining its thinking, the Armenian Central Bank said inflation measured 2.3% for the 12 months to the end of July. This is just below its inflation target but is a significant jump from the month before and, according to the Central Bank, shows inflationary pressure building.
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(News report from Issue No. 100, published on Aug. 10 2012)