Tag Archives: copper

Kazakh miner to hit target

OCT. 29 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) — London-listed miner KAZ Minerals, formerly known as Kazakhmys, said it is on track to meet its production targets for 2015, despite a slight fall in production during the first nine months of the year. KAZ Minerals also said that it had increased its net debt by 18.8% to $1.9b in Q3. The company may be bullish on output at its copper and zinc mines in Kazakhstan but it has been hit by a fall in commodity prices.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 254, published on Oct. 30 2015)

Stock market: Centerra Gold, KAZ Minerals

OCT. 30 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) — The US Federal Reserve Bank’s hinted that interest rates could be increased in December, hitting stock markets worldwide. South Caucasus- and Central Asia-related shares were no exception.

Miners were hit badly. Kyrgyzstan- focused Centerra Gold saw its shares lose over 9% in Toronto this week, closing at 7.36 Canadian dollars on Friday.

KAZ Minerals shares were also down 9%, closing at 116p on Friday.

After announcing it would pay a dividend to its shareholders on Oct. 30, Central Asia Metals reversed a slow start and closed on Friday, with a marginal positive growth, at 163p/share in London.

Oil and gas producers also suffered, despite oil prices gaining 2% this week with Brent crude closing at $49.5/barrel. Kazakhstan-focused Tethys Petroleum and Nostrum Oil & Gas both lost around 10% this week.

After reaching an 8-month high at £21.35/share last Friday, London-listed Bank of Georgia fell by 6.5% to £20.00. Last week its shares rallied after a healthcare group it holds a large stake in announced an IPO price range that valued the company at around $500m.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 254, published on Oct. 30 2015)

Stock market: Nostrum, Tethys, KAZ Minerals

OCT. 23 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) — Oil companies suffered from a fall in oil prices this week. The Brent index closed at $48/barrel on Friday, down 5% this week.

Nostrum Oil & Gas lost around 9% this week, recovering on Friday to end at 475p per share in London. Nostrum’s summer objective Tethys Petroleum continued its slump, reaching the lowest level in 2015 on Oct. 22, trading at 0.06 Canadian dollars per share in Toronto on Thursday, rebounding slightly to 0.07 Canadian dollars on Friday. Kazakhstan-focused Roxi Petroleum gained 2%, after it issued new shares earlier in October. Roxi closed at 9.63p on Friday.

Last week, the price of copper fell by 2% before recovering to $2.40 per lb. Britain-based miner KAZ Minerals was hit by the market crunch this week and recorded a 7% loss, closing at 127p in London on Friday.

The upside was represented by Centerra Gold, whose shares gained almost 9% despite slower gold production in Kyrgyzstan. The final price in Toronto was 8.28 Canadian dollars.

In the banking sector, Bank of Georgia rose by almost 7% this week to 214p. The stability of the lari currency kept the market optimistic.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 253, published on Oct. 23 2015)

Stock market: KAZ Minerals, Nostrum, KEGOC

OCT. 9 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) — The biggest mover in the stock markets for Central Asia and the South Caucasus was London-listed KAZ Minerals, which gained a staggering 65% since the beginning of October at 145p on Friday. Its performance was in line with most commodity producers which were hit by the Glencore slump last week.

Kazakhstan-focused Nostrum Oil & Gas was stable this week at around 524 pence, after rebounding from a sharp drop last week. Its failed takeover offer for Tethys Petroleum affected its performance in the market.

Polyus Gold continued its roller- coaster to end the week at 198 pence. Polyus has shown a volatility of +/- 3% over the past three weeks.

In local markets, KEGOC, Kazakhstan’s state-owned electricity company became one of the strongest players in KASE, gaining over 25% in the past three weeks. However, because its stocks are denominated in tenge, the value of its assets has not fared as well as it seems. Speculative moves behind the multi-million dollar transactions of the past weeks have turned KEGOC into an appealing investment in a market marred with worsening assets.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 251, published on Oct. 9 2015)

Rout on commodities-based companies hits KAZ Minerals

ALMATY, SEPT. 30 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) — KAZ Minerals’ shares in London lost a fifth of their value over the past week as concerns about future commodities prices continued to stalk the market and copper prices fell to near 6-year lows.

Globally, Switzerland-based Glencore was the biggest loser in September with around $14b wiped off its market cap. The market pushed down Glencore shares mainly because of worries over its large debt pile but the sell-off still pressured other commodities-orientated companies including miners in the South Caucasus and Central Asia.

And the drop in commodities prices it also a sovereign issue in Central Asia and the South Caucasus with national budgets partially reliant on income from sales. This will hurt Kazakhstan in particular, although it will reverberate across the region.

Analysts were quick to point the finger at weak Chinese demand for commodities, especially copper, for the drop in prices. Copper is regarded as a good conductor of electricity and heat and used widely in manufacturing.

“With China slowing down and a lot of uncertainty, fears in the market have intensified, and the reduction in the pace of demand growth for all commodities has seemed to send everybody off the cliff,” Ed Hirs, professor of energy economics at the University of Houston told Bloomberg.

China uses more than half of world’s copper production and any fluctuation in its demand curve has significant effects in the markets. A strong US dollar and uncertainty over Fed interest rate decisions has also hit commodities prices.

London-listed KAZ Minerals, formerly known as Kazakhmys, is particularly exposed to Chinese copper demand whims. Its main product is copper and China is one of its main clients.

Shares in KAZ Minerals were down 20.5% in one week closing at 84.65p, its lowest ever price. It later rebounded above 90p, due to a wave of short-term rebounds across the sector.

KAZ Minerals/Kazakhmys has been portrayed as a company closely interlinked with the elite in Kazakhstan.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 250, published on Oct. 2 2015)

Stock market: KAZ Minerals, Central Asia Metals

OCT. 2 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) — Mining companies dominated the news this week from stock markets selling shares in Central Asian and South Caucasian companies.

London-listed KAZ Minerals lost 30% in one week before rising slightly to 91p. What was striking, though, was that the trade volume surpassed 25m shares, a weekly turnaround that was only seen during a surge in August and during another sharp fall in mid-January.

Central Asia Metals was essentially stable this week in London at around 155-158p.

Toronto-listed Centerra Gold fell again. This week, the Kyrgyzstan- focused mining company lost around 6% to end the week at 7.29 Canadian dollars.

Central Asia-focused oil companies showed mixed results. Nostrum Oil & Gas shares lost around 4% this week, down to 462p. This fall was linked to the ongoing saga with Tethys Petroleum on the takeover.

Kazakhstan-focused Roxi Petroleum performed well this wekek, as it climbed back to 10p, an 18% surge in seven days, triggered by the positive interim results for H1 2015 it published on Sept. 29.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 250, published on Oct. 2 2015)

Stock market: KAZ Minerals, Nostrum Oil & Gas

SEPT. 18-24 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) — KAZ Minerals shares, now trading at 101 pence, lost over 30% in one week, a fall sharper than the one it suffered last January, when it dropped by more than 25% in one day. Questions on China’s demand

for copper worried investors. Credit Suisse and BNP Paribas downgraded KAZ Minerals and reviewed downwards its target price. Goldman Sachs said there could be a potential upside on Friday and next week.

Nostrum Oil & Gas dropped a further 4% to 481 pence (Sept. 25), although an agreement with Tethys Petroleum seems closer after a company statement said the latest Nostrum offer priced each Tethys share at 0.147 Canadian dollars (Sept. 23).

Azerbaijan-based miner Anglo- Asian Mining gained 13% to 5.38 pence this week, after it published a promising H1 2015 report.

Kazakhstan-focused Roxi Petroleum continued its oil price linked slump, dropping by 4.3% to 8.5 pence this week in London.

In the GDR markets, Kazmunaigas E&P lost almost 20% this week, trading at $6.47 onFriday, almost certainly linked to Kazakhstan’s weak prospects in terms of oil production. Kcell fell by 13.4% finishing the week at $5.35 after TeliaSonera announced last week it would leave its Eurasian markets. TeliaSonera owns 62% of Kcell.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 249, published on Sept. 25 2015)

Stock market: Centerra Gold, KAZ Minerals

SEPT. 11-18 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) — Canadian mining company Centerra Gold saw its stock price on the Toronto Stock Exchange jump over 16% to 7.34 Canadian dollars, after having slumped in the past three weeks, due to the signing of a new exploration licence in British Columbia. Centerra’s main asset, the Kumtor gold mine, is located in Kyrgyzstan. London listed KAZ Minerals, was down 6% to 152 pence due to low copper prices. Kazakhstan-focused Roxi Petroleum gained 4.4% this week, to 8.75 pence.

Kcell, one of Kazakhstan’s largest telecoms, lost 2% on Sept. 17 after its mother company TeliaSonera said it would leave Eurasian markets.

London-listed Bank of Georgia surged 3.9% this week to 1,907 pence. The GDR stock of Georgia’s TBC Bank lost 6.5% this week in London, down to $9.25 per share, though it had fallen to $9.11 on Sept. 14.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 248, published on Sept. 18 2015)

Stock market: KAZ Minerals, Roxi, Centerra

SEPT. 11 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) — The biggest movers on the stock markets were copper producer KAZ Minerals which finished the week up 8%, Roxi Petroleum settled down 12% and Centerra Gold fell by 6.6%.

KAZ Minerals’ share price has fluctuated wildly, hit by China’s economic health and commodity prices. It is now trading at 162 pence, up from around 150 pence at the start of the week. It is sensitive to the value of the tenge which weakened by 10% this week and gave KAZ Minerals a lift.

Roxi Petroleum’s main oil assets are in Kazakhstan.

Its shares fell after it said it was having to downgrade the value of its assets by 28% in line with the fall in the tenge last month.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 247, published on Sept. 11 2015)

Stock market: Tethys, Nostrum, KAZ Minerals, TBC Bank

SEPT. 3 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) – Shares in Toronto- and London listed Tethys Petroleum, whose focus is on oil and gas production and exploration in Central Asia, fell significantly after rival Nostrum on Aug. 28 cut a third off the value of an earlier buyout offer.

Tethys shares in Toronto fell by 20% and in London by 29.3%. Tethys responded by saying that it would honour the exclusivity agreement with Nostrum and then look to other companies for potential buyers.

Nostrum said that it had cut its offer after a new due diligence project showed that the original offer had overvalued the company.

In mining, shares in London-listed KAZ Minerals lost 14.2% of their value between Aug. 28 and Sept. 4, wiping gains from August’s devaluation.

KAZ Minerals used to be called Kazakhmys and is focused on copper production.

The Global Depositary Receipts (GDRs) of TBC Bank, which are traded in London, fell by around 8% over the week to $9.12, the lowest price to date for the bank.

TBC, which is the largest retail bank in Georgia and counts PM Irakli Garibashvili as a director, has been trading its GDRs in London since 2014.

The Georgian economy, like the rest of the region, has been dealing with the fallout from the slowdown in Russia’s economy. Georgia is also vulnerable to Greece, its second largest source of remittances. There was no particular news from TBC that would have pressures its GDRs.

ENDS

(News report from Issue No. 280, published on May 13 2016)