OCT. 23 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) — When OPEC calls, Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan are unlikely to answer.
OPEC, an organisation for oil exporting countries, is seeking to coordinate a cut in production with non-OPEC countries to lift oil prices.
Acting as a cartel, OPEC can determine production levels in order to control global oil prices. It has done so repeatedly over the past decades.
Strapped for cash and reliant on oil exports, Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan are not OPEC members and do not enjoy the same market power as Saudi Arabia or Russia.
Because their action would have little effect on oil prices they are unlikely to play OPEC’s game, according to Daniel Yergin, vice- chairman of the IHS consulting company and one of the most authoritative voices on Caspian energy issues.
“I think they will not cooperate. They (Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan) are typical non-OPEC countries who simply produce at a maximum they can,” Mr Yergin told Reuters.
Lower oil prices and ageing fields have pushed production numbers down in Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan (minus 2% and 3% respectively) and they simply cannot afford to arbitrarily cut back production in concert with OPEC.
The economies of these two Caspian countries are heavily reliant on hard currency revenues from oil exports. They’ll want to keep oil production at a maximum.
ENDS
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(News report from Issue No. 253, published on Oct. 23 2015)