MARCH 9 2015 (The Conway Bulletin) – Remittances to Armenia, a vital part of its economy, were 40% lower in January 2015 compared to January 2015, media reported quoting the Central Bank.
Like other countries in the Central Asia/South Caucasus region, Armenia’s economy is partially reliant on workers in Russia sending back cash for their families back in Yerevan and other Armenian towns and villages.
But the Russian economy has dipped over the past 12 months because of Western imposed sanctions and a sharp drop in global energy prices.
This has had a large knock-on effect. Armenia’s economy is especially tied-in to Russia’s financial health.
The data shows Armenia’s dependency on Russia in more detail. Total remittances to Armenia were $72m in January, compared to $122 in the same period in 2013. Of this, the amount from Russia fell 56% to $38m from $87m in 2015.
Economists have been lining up to say that economic growth in Armenia this year will measure around zero, below even the government’s estimates of 2% growth.
The ARKA news agency quoted economist Vilen Khachatryan.
“Given the strong dependence of Armenia on the Russian market we expect the negative developments in Russia and our region will lead to a reduction in turnover and unemployment among Armenian labour migrants in Russia which will in turn affect Armenia’s economy,” he said.
“If Russia fails to get out of the current crisis, Armenia’s economic growth this year will be zero.”
ENDS
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(News report from Issue No. 222, published on March 11 2015)