Category Archives: Uncategorised

Azerbaijan cuts defence spending

JAN. 27 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Azerbaijan has cut its defence spending by 40%, IHS Jane’s Defence reported, part of its efforts to slash government costs as revenues falter in the worsening economic climate. Jane’s said that Azerbaijani government documents had shown that it had cut the so called Special Projects part of the defence budget which it estimated ran to 40% of its total budget.

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(News report from Issue No. 265, published on Jan. 29 2016)

Uzbek authorities urge anti-IS propaganda

JAN. 28 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – The authorities in Uzbekistan are forcing parents of men and women who have fled Uzbekistan to join the radical IS group in Syria and Iraq apologise for their sons and daughters on state television, the eurasianet.org website reported. The footage of sobbing, elderly parents is supposed to encourage others to monitor their children more closely. Central Asian governments are increasingly worried about IS recruitment from the region.

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(News report from Issue No. 265, published on Jan. 29 2016)

Azerbaijan’s Central Bank reserves collapse

JAN. 22 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – The reserves of Azerbaijan’s Central Bank fell by 60% in 2015 to $5b, it said, highlighting just how much cash it had burned through trying to prop up its ailing manat currency. The Central Bank was forced to devalue the manat twice last year as oil prices stayed stubbornly low. The manat is now worth around 50% of its value of a year ago.

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(News report from Issue No. 265, published on Jan. 29 2016)

Kyrgyz hydropower station operates at full

JAN. 24 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Kyrgyz President Almazbek Atambayev told parliament that the Toktogul hydropower station was now operating at full capacity after an outage just before Christmas knocked out a couple of the power generating units , media reported. Toktogul is Kyrgyzstan’s biggest hydropower station and its breakdown forced Kyrgyzstan to buy electricity from neighbouring Kazakhstan.

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(News report from Issue No. 265, published on Jan. 29 2016)

 

Inver House looks to grow in Kazakhstan

JAN. 25 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Scottish distiller Inver House, which produces a range of alcoholic drinks from whisky to gin to beer, said it would target Kazakhstan, among other countries, after a 20% increase in production following a £10m ($14.3m) investment in its manufacturing site in Scotland.

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(News report from Issue No. 265, published on  Jan. 29 2016)

Kazakh currency rate rise

JAN. 21 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Kazakhstan’s Central Bank increased interest rates on tenge held bank deposits by four percentage points to 14% in an attempt to defend the value of its currency. The Central Bank has maintained different interest rates on tenge and US dollar deposits for several years. US dollar deposits now earn interest of 2%, down from 3%.

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(News report from Issue No. 264, published on Jan. 22 2016)

Kyrgyzstan’s tax police raids Chinese refinery

JAN. 20 2016, BISHKEK (The Conway Bulletin) — Kyrgyz police raided the China-run Junda oil refinery in the north of the country and accused it of evading 54.5m som ($716,000) in taxes, charges that will strain Kyrgyzstan-China relations.

During the raid, police detained the company’s deputy director Lin Yu-shan and placed its accountant, Lyudmila Marchenko, under house arrest.

Baktybek Ashirov, head of the Kyrgyz state service for combating economic crimes, told Parliament that the Junda refinery had paid 30m som ($400,000) in taxes but that was far below what it should have paid.

“The inspections showed that they should have paid twice as much, that is, there was hiding of information and an underestimation of production,” he was quoted as saying by local media.

Junda hasn’t commented.

For foreign investors in Kyrgyzstan, the charges are a worry. They have previously complained that local elite and the authorities have colluded to pressure various businesses into paying more tax, fines or giving up equity stakes in projects.

And the Junda refinery, built by the China Petrol Company for $430m, has seemingly had to deal with a large dose of misfortune since opening in January 2014.

First, protests by locals complaining of poor air quality forced it to stop production, then crude oil supplies dropped so low that it had to limit output.

The authorities said that despite the raid and the arrests, the Junda oil refinery, one of two in Kyrgyzstan, was operating as normal.

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(News report from Issue No. 264, published on Jan. 22 2016)

Italian Inalca and Kazakh Aktep sign deal

JAN. 17 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Italian beef processing company Inalca and Kazakh company Aktep signed a deal to create a joint venture and build new factories in the country. The new company will increase Aktep’s current production five-fold to 12,000 tonnes per year of meat products. Inalca Eurasia, Inalca’s daughter company, said it will invest €100m ($109m) in the project.

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(News report from Issue No. 264, published on Jan. 22 2016)

 

Thousands of migrant workers return to Tajikistan from Russia

JAN. 20 2016, DUSHANBE (The Conway Bulletin) — Hundreds of migrant workers are returning to Tajikistan everyday from Russia where an economic recession has destroyed once solid jobs.

At the international airport, flights from Russia were packed full of swathy, downcast young men dejectedly carrying their belongings in bags.

They told the same story.

They had moved to Moscow, or St Petersburg, or Yekaterinburg, or a host of other Russian cities, in search of work. The usual seasonal jobs, working in factories, on construction sites, cleaning roads. These jobs had seemed safe but a recession in Russia, triggered by a collapse in oil prices and sanctions imposed by the West, have wiped these out.

According to the Russian Federal Migration Service, there are now only 863,000 Tajik workers in Russia, down by nearly 30% from the 1.2m employed this time last year.

Idibek, a 24-year-old man, was standing outside the airport’s terminal building waiting for a friend to pick him up. He had just left his job in a St Petersburg chocolate factory.

“The money I earn is enough only for my living expenses in Russia,” he said.

“I used to make 30,000 roubles, which was around $800, and that was enough for me and my family in Tajikistan. Nowadays, the money I earn is a little bit more than $300.”

He didn’t know whether he would find any work now that he had returned to Tajikistan.

Russia’s economy is so important to Central Asia and the South Caucasus that its woes have hit its near-abroad like a tsunami and wreaked havoc.

Most currencies in the region have fallen by a third or half. Economic forecasts are down and Central Banks and governments are scrambling to rework budgets.

Tajikistan, with its reliance on remittances, is one of the countries hardest hit by the economic downturn in Russia. Its Central Bank has said remittances have dropped by around 40%, a heavy burden for the rest of the economy to shoulder.

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(News report from Issue No. 264, published on Jan. 22 2016)

Editorial: Iran’s return

JAN. 22 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – There is much excitement in our region over the emergence of Iran after over a decade of US-imposed sanctions.

New flight connections, new pipelines, new transmission lines and more is what a sanctions-free Iran could bring to the South Caucasus and Central Asia.

Iran has struck a deal with Air Astana to open the Almaty-Tehran air route. It has also revived talks with Turkmenistan about gas fields and pipelines around the Caspian.

Potentially, a new network to the east of the Caspian Sea could facilitate the European Union’s plans to import gas from the region. Azerbaijan may well be interested in such deals as well. In addition, Iran could become an important supplier of gas to both Armenia and Georgia.

On the flip side, Iran’s accession to the global oil market will undoubtedly drive the price of oil further down, it has huge oil reserves and production capacity, increasing the pressure on the budgets of oil-exporting economies in the region.

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Editorial from Issue No. 264, published on Jan. 22 2016)