Category Archives: Uncategorised

S+p downgrades Azerbaijan’s debt status

JAN. 29 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Ratings agency Standard & Poor’s downgraded Azerbaijan’s debt status to junk and said that its economy would contract for the first time in a decade. The downgrade from BBB- to BB+ comes off the back of a 35% collapse in the value of the Azerbaijani manat, growing internal dissatisfaction and concern over disappearing jobs. Azerbaijan is reliant on oil exports for revenues.

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(News report from Issue No. 266, published on Feb. 5 2016)

 

Chaarat finds gold in Kyrgyzstan

FEB. 3 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — British Virgin Island-registered Chaarat Gold completed a feasibility study for a gold mine it is exploring in north-west Kyrgyzstan. The mine is Chaarat’s only asset. Dekel Golan, Chaarat’s CEO, said in an interview that the study revealed low production costs (around $650/troy ounce, including the government tax), which means the company will go ahead with the project.

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(News report from Issue No. 266, published on Feb. 5 2016)

Business comment: Central Bank intrigue in Kazakhstan

FEB. 5 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — In Kazakhstan, the Central Bank resumed its work as the country’s financial regulator after a three-month hiatus, increasing interest rates by 1 percentage point to 17%.

Daniyar Akishev, the Central Banker, is at the helm again, it seems. He even ordered a handful of interventions in the currency market in January, something he had ruled out since his appointment last November.

Now, Kazakhstan watchers expect monetary policy to become more stable and predictable in the coming months. The next policy meeting will be held in six weeks, one week before a parliamentary election on March 20.

Still, many don’t see Mr Akishev’s position as an independent one. He is a seasoned Central Bank employee, but it is clear that he is not as free as many Western Central Bankers are.

A recent symbolic move could corroborate this view. This week, Kazakhstan’s President Nursultan Nazarbayev signed a decree that makes the Central Banker’s signature on the back of banknotes redundant.

Only eagles, monuments and the President’s handprint will continue to feature in Kazakhstan’s colourful currency.

The Central Banker’s signature is a convention that most countries in the world adopt.

Kazakhstan will now join a handful of countries that don’t feature their Central Banker’s signature on banknotes. This group includes China, Japan and Uzbekistan.

This might be, essentially, a final step by the Kazakh government to strip the Central Bank of the independence it gained under former governor Grigory Marchenko who left in 2013.

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(News report from Issue No. 266, published on Feb. 5 2016)

Georgia’s GDP slows

JAN. 29 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Georgia’s GDP grew by 2.8% in 2015, down from 4.6% in 2014, the national statistics office said. This was around half predictions at the beginning of the year and was the lowest annual growth rate since 2009, when the Global Financial Crisis dented growth around the world. Georgia’s government has said that it expects growth of around 3% in 2016.

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(News report from Issue No. 266, published on Feb. 5 2016)

 

Kazakh government wins case v Mongolia

FEB. 4 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — The Kazakh government defeated a law suit filed against it by Erdenet Mining, a Mongolian company, in a London commercial court over the bankruptcy of a mining company in the 1990s. Although Balkhashmys, the mining company, was private, the Mongolian company still said Kazakhstan had responsibility for its losses. The court in London said that it had no jurisdiction over the case and threw out the Mongolian claims.

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(News report from Issue No. 266, published on Feb. 5 2016)

Sumatec delays start of operations at Kazakhstan’s Buzachi field

FEB. 2 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Malaysian oil company Sumatec said that it hadn’t yet started operations at its Buzachi field in the Mangistau region, western Kazakhstan, that it bought last year for $290m from Borneo Energy. It has delayed a $105m payment to different creditors until Buzachi starts production.

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(News report from Issue No. 266, published on Feb. 5 2016)

Kcell revenues fall 10% as economic downturn bites Kazakhstan

ALMATY, JAN. 29 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Revenues at Kazakh telecoms company Kcell fell for the first time in six years in 2015, evidence that worsening financial conditions are hitting all sectors of Kazakhstan’s economy.

Last year Kcell revenues dropped 10% to 168b tenge ($448m), the company said at its full year results. In US dollar terms, however, the comparison looks worse. In 2014, revenues stood at 187.6b tenge or $1.01b at the time. This means that revenues dropped 56% in US dollar terms. The Kazakh tenge lost half its value against the US dollar in 2015.

The management at Kcell blamed the downturn on low oil prices, the sharp depreciation of the tenge and a tough market.

“We experienced a tough operating environment in 2015, with the devaluation of the tenge, oil price weakness and a Kazakh telecoms market characterised by intensive competition,” Arti Ots, Kcell’s CEO said in a statement.

Tellingly, though, Kcell’s subscriber numbers fell by 7.5% and the average spend per consumer dropped by 8.7% in 2015 highlighting competition and creeping conservatism by consumers. Overall operating profit was down by 30%.

There is fierce competition in Kazakhstan’s saturated mobile market, an issue that Askar Akhmedov, a telecoms analyst at Halyk Finance, raised.

“The price war between Kazakhstan’s mobile operators appears to be intensifying,” he said in a note clients. Overall, he said that these results were worse than expected.

Swedish telecoms company TeliaSonera owns 61.9% in Kcell and in its sister company Activ.

Last year, TeliaSonera said it would sell stakes in companies across the South Caucasus and Central Asia after its Uzbek subsidiary became embroiled in a corruption scandal centred on payments made in 2008 to win a mobile phone licence.

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(News report from Issue No. 266, published on Feb. 5 2016)

Georgia investigates corruption allegations

FEB. 5 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Georgia’s ministry of defence said it was investigating allegations that some Georgian soldiers on assignment in the Central African Republic were part of a rouge group of peacekeepers who abused children and raped women. The UN said it had opened an investigation after allegations were levied at peacekeepers. Georgia sent 150 soldiers on an EU-led mission to the Central African Republic between Feb. 2014 and March 2015.

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(News report from Issue No. 266, published on Feb. 5 2016)

Cliq says has sorted deal with oil field in Kazakhstan

FEB. 5 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Malaysian oil company Cliq Energy said it still hadn’t obtained permission to buy an oil field in Kazakhstan from the Malaysian authorities. The Securities Commission of Malaysia previously turned down Cliq’s request to go ahead with the deal. Last year, Cliq paid $110m for two blocks at the Karazhanbas North oil field. It needs to finalise the deal by a April 9 deadline.

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Copyright ©The Conway Bulletin — all rights reserved

(News report from Issue No. 266, published on Feb. 5 2016)