Category Archives: Uncategorised

Kazakh Parliament to discuss neew subsoil law

FEB. 23 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – A new subsoil law in Kazakhstan, which Western investors hope will reduce costs and improve access to geological information, will be presented to parliament within the next few months, Aset Magauov, the deputy energy minister said. Kazakhstan has been developing a new subsoil law for the past 18 months.

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(News report from Issue No. 269, published on Feb. 26 2016)

 

Georgia’s rebel region wants referendum

FEB. 20 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – The president of the breakaway Georgian region of South Ossetia, Leonid Tibilov, said that he wanted to hold a referendum on joining Russia, a vote that would raise tension in the region. Russia and Georgia fought a war over South Ossetia in 2008. Since then, Russia has recognised its independence, although only a handful of other countries have followed Moscow’s lead.

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(News report from Issue No. 269, published on Feb. 26 2016)

 

Russia accuses Azerbaijan of aiding Turkey

FEB. 23 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Russia’s agricultural watchdog accused Azerbaijan of re-exporting potatoes from Turkey to Russia to help their Turkish allies beat Russian sanctions.

This is the first time that Russia has accused a country from Central Asia and the South Caucasus, which have loyalties to both the Kremlin and Ankara, of helping Turkey dodge sanctions imposed last year after a Turkish fighter-jet shot down a Russian fighter-jet over Syria.

“After inspecting the food shipments coming from Azerbaijan and Iran to ensure their commitment to Russia’s decision to prevent the import of agricultural products from Turkey, we have noted that Azerbaijan has doubled its potato shipments to our country by five times since last January,” Sergei Dankvet, head of the agricultural watchdog, told media.

He also said Russia had complained to Azerbaijan and warned it of potential consequences. Companies in the Baltics have previously used Central Asia to skip EU sanctions to send their dairy goods to Russia.

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(News report from Issue No. 269, published on Jan. 26 2016)

 

Editorial: Azerbaijan and potatoes

FEB. 26 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Azerbaijan,it could be said, is caught between a rock and a hard place.

Two of its allies are at loggerheads and now Russia has accused it of trying to help shift potatoes around sanctions it imposed on Turkey after a Turkish warplane shot down a Russian warplane over Syria.

Azerbaijani businesses are having a tough time. The economic downturn has been tough on them and the prospect of earning a percentage may have been too much for them to ignore. Of course, they may also have just wanted to help out their regional Big Brother, Turkey.

Whatever the reason, the accusation from Moscow has thrown a spotlight on Central Asia and the South Caucasus over their sanction-beating roles.

Last year, Baltic suppliers sent dairy products to Uzbekistan for re-export to Kazakhstan and then to Russia, circumventing Western sanctions against Russia. This year Aktau port said shipments from Turkey had increased by 10-times, although they didn’t say goods were being sent on to Russia.

The region, it appears, has become a transit hub for Russia-bound goods.

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(Editorial from Issue No. 269, published on Feb. 26 2016)

 

Uzbekistan finishes railway

FEB. 25 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Uzbek officials said that work on a $1.63b railway section in the Fergana Valley had been completed, meaning that trains can now travel from Tashkent without having to pass through Tajikistan.

Although the cost of the 123km track is high, driven up by kilometres of tunnels and bridges that were needed to breach the mountainous terrain, for Uzbekistan cutting out the irritation of having to deal with Tajikistan makes it worth it.

Uzbekistan and Tajikistan have been at loggerheads since the breakup of the Soviet Union in 1991.

At its core, Uzbekistan worried about Tajik plans to build hydropower dams across rivers that feed Uzbekistan’s cotton crops. Tajikistan doesn’t like Uzbekistan’s unilateral stance.

This impacted rail traffic, which steadily dropped off.

The World Bank estimated the route will transport 600,000 people and 5 tonnes of freight every year. The project also underlines the financial might of China in the region. It paid $350m of the cost of the project, the World Bank paid $190m and the Uzbek government covered the rest.

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(News report from Issue No. 269, published on Feb. 26 2016)

Belarus frees Tajik opposition

FEB. 23 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – The authorities in Belarus have released a Tajik woman linked to the opposition Group 24, media reported, a move that will irritate Tajikistan’s government. Police detained Shabnam Hudoidodov when she entered Belarus in June 2015. She has now been given refugee status. The Tajik authorities have made chasing opposition groups a priority.

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(News report from Issue No. 269, published on Feb. 26 2016)

 

Armenia receives arms loan

FEB. 19 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Russia has agreed to give Armenia a $200m loan to buy weapons from Russian arms manufacturers, media reported. Under the terms of the deal, Armenia will use the loan to pay for Smerch rocket launchers, Igla-S air-defense systems, radar-jamming systems, sniper rifles, and armoured vehicles. Armenia will pay for 10% of the weapons, while Russia’s credit would cover the rest. Armenia is still at war over the disputed region of Nagorno-Karabakh. The day after the deal was signed, Azerbaijan said that it had made a formal complaint to Russia that its arms deal with Armenia would upset the delicate military equilibrium in the region.

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(News report from Issue No. 269, published on Feb. 26 2016)

 

 

Azerbaijan’s President pays visit to Tehran

FEB. 23 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Azerbaijani president Ilham Aliyev flew to Tehran for talks with his Iranian counterparts. Media reported that the two sides signed a memorandum of understanding on oil and gas projects.

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(News report from Issue No. 269, published on Feb. 26 2016)

 

Tajik students protest outside EU offices

FEB. 20 2016, DUSHANBE (The Conway Bulletin) — In a move reminiscent of protests organised by the authorities in Russia to hound government opponents and envoys of countries that the Kremlin had fallen out with, Tajik students demonstrated outside the Turkish and EU diplomatic missions in Dushanbe.

Around 70 students shouted slogans accusing Turkey and EU countries of allowing members of the banned Islamic Renaissance Party of Tajikistan (IRPT) to hold meetings.

“Bring the traitors to the homeland” they shouted. “We came here to express our dissatisfaction with the fact that the traitors are given the opportunity to organize protest meetings (abroad).”

Reports from northern Tajikistan also said a group of students had protested outside the office of the OSCE, Europe’s democracy and human rights watchdog, in Khujand.

Students have previously demonstrated against the IRPT, although they have denied that they had been organised and paid by the government to mount the protests.

This explanation, though, didn’t sit with most analysts’ reading of the demonstrations. In Dushanbe, an analyst who asked to remain anonymous, told The Conway Bulletin’s Dushanbe correspondent that the authorities must have organised the demonstration as no protest could take place without their approval.

“Tajik authorities do not understand that Western countries and Turkey will not be affected by such protests and will not extradite the political refugees,” said the analyst.

Other observers likened the organised protests to Nashi, the youth movement organised by the Kremlin in the late 2000s to hound its enemies. Well funded and single- minded, Nashi gained notoriety for its determined and lengthy demonstrations against foreign ambassadors and democracy advocates.

Last year, the Tajik government outlawed the IRPT, the country’s only formal opposition party. Human rights groups have complained that the government aims to crack down on free speech.

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(News report from Issue No. 269, published on Feb. 26 2016)

 

Azerbaijan cancels $16.5b petrochemical project

FEB. 19 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Azerbaijan’s state-owned energy company SOCAR said it had halted a multi-billion dollar project to develop the OGPC petrochemical complex at Sangachal, 40km south of Baku, because of sustained low oil prices, dealing a major blow to the country’s economic outlook.

SOCAR’s vice president Tofig Gahramanov said the company had stopped construction on the complex that was once valued at $16.5b and feted as the project that would transform Azerbaijan into the region’s biggest producer of refined products.

“We can say that active work on the OGPC project has been temporarily frozen,” Mr Gahramanov told Reuters in an interview.

Last month, in Kazakhstan, South Korea’s LG Chem cancelled a $4.2b project to build a petrochemical plant on the Caspian Sea coast.

Initially, the OGPC project near Baku, included an oil refinery which was later dropped, bringing the cost of construction down to $7b.

Japan’s Mitsui signed a preliminary memorandum to take part in the project last year. Last year, the Britain-based unit of US’ Fluor Group was selected as the lead contractor on the project. Fluor UK declined to comment when contacted by The Conway Bulletin.

The economic downturn has hit Azerbaijan hard. The manat currency has lost around 50% of its value and, with oil prices still low, the project was simply too costly for the state budget.

And the impact of SOCAR’s decision to freeze, or scrap, plans to build the petrochemical complex will be felt far and wide.

This was one of the biggest projects in the region and dozens of Western companies will have been lined up to work on it.

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Copyright ©The Conway Bulletin — all rights reserved

(News report from Issue No. 269, published on  Feb. 26 2016)