Category Archives: Uncategorised

Stock market: Centerra Gold

JUNE 3 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Centerra Gold shares in Toronto usually closely follow the ups and downs of spot gold prices, but a recent escalation of the spat with the Kyrgyz government has altered this trend.

Investors welcomed the strong verbal reaction by the company to a raid in a Centerra-owned office in Bishkek at the end of April and gave the stock a boost in the first weeks of May.

Since then, though, a number of environmental fines have dented confidence. It’s been a rocky ride with the share price bouncing around depending on the various statements issued by each side. At the start of the week, as this graph shows, Centerra’s share price rose on news that it would start arbitration proceedings against the Kyrgyz government.

Decreasing gold prices, as the graph shows, now add to the mix and with a legal battle with Kyrgyzstan on the horizon, analysts have become increasingly pessimistic on Centerra’s target price.

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(News report from Issue No. 283, published on June 3 2016)

Kazakhstan to take majority control of major uranium mine

ALMATY, MAY 31 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Canada’s Cameco, the world’s largest publicly traded uranium company, said it will cut its stake in its joint venture with Kazakhstan’s state-owned Kazatomprom, giving the Kazakh government majority control over one of its biggest uranium deposits.

Under the new agreement Cameco and Kazatomprom will extend their partnership in the Inkai joint venture until 2045, although the share split will switch from 60:40 in Cameco’s favour to 60:40 in Kazatomprom’s favour.

Inkai is one of the most important uranium deposits in Kazakhstan.

Cameco’s CEO Tim Gitzel said in a statement: “The agreement advances our strategy to mitigate the risk of today’s uncertain uranium market and positions us to maximize returns when the market recovers.”

Under the plan, also welcomed by Kazatomprom chairman Askar Zhumagaliyev, Inkai will double uranium production to 4,000 tonnes and could potentially build a new uranium refinery.

In its annual report, Cameco said it was surprised by continued low uranium prices.

The deal also comes a few months after Kazakh President Nursultan Nazarbayev hinted he wanted more state control over the uranium sector.

“It is necessary to either ensure that [Kazatomprom’s partners] meet their obligations or look into reclaiming those assets in the interests of our state,” Mr Nazarbayev said.

This is in line with policy in other sectors, such as oil and gas where Mr Nazarbayev also wants to extend control.

Kazakhstan, which is the world’s largest uranium producer, is faced with a dilemma. It needs the expertise of large uranium companies such as Cameco, France’s Areva and Japan’s Sumitomo to become a safe and reli- able hub for nuclear fuel, but it also wants to gain more control of an industry it had widely privatised in the first years after independence.

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(News report from Issue No. 283, published on June 3 2016)

Azerbaijan’s energy company reorganises its assets in Turkey

JUNE 1 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — SOCAR Turkey Enerji, a subsidiary of Azerbaijan’s state-owned energy company, has said it wants to buy stakes in a pipeline and a lubricants company and sell a stake in a refinery, in a major shake up of its operations in Turkey.

SOCAR Turkey Enerji said it is interested in buying OMV Petrol Ofisi, a subsidiary of the Austrian energy company that produces fuel and lubricants in Turkey. To secure the deal, the Azerbaijani company will have to beat competition from Chinese and Japanese companies.

“SOCAR has an interest in this deal. We are waiting for the company to submit information on these assets,” Zaur Gakhramanov, the company’s head, told local media. He also said his company wants to buy a 7% stake in TANAP, the Trans-Anatolian gas pipeline, from SOCAR, which owns a 58% stake in the project.

Perhaps adding to the company’s expansion plans, Mr Gakhramanov also said that SOCAR Turkey Enerji plans an IPO in 2020 for 49% of its shares. He did not say where the company’s shares would list.

But this year SOCAR Turkey Enerji has also looked to sell.

In May, it said it wanted to sell off its shares in Turkey’s petrochemical complex Petkim. In March SOCAR Turkey Enerji cut its share in Petkim from 8.07% to 5.32%. SOCAR Turkey Petrokimiya, another SOCAR subsidiary, still owns 51% of the project.

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(News report from Issue No. 283, published on June 3 2016)

Azerbaijani international footballer jailed over killing of journalist

MAY 31 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Javid Huseynov, an international Azerbaijani football player, was sentenced to four years in jail for links to the killing of a journalist who had criticised him on social media.

The 28-year old former captain of the Gabala football team and a regular player in Azerbaijan’s national team, was found guilty of failing to inform the authorities about the planned attack on sports journalist Rasim Aliyev. The men who attacked and beat Aliyev on a street in Baku last year have already been imprisoned for his killing.

But supporters of Aliyev, who was also known for his human rights activities, said that the four year sentence for Huseynov was too light.

Arzu Geybullayeva, an Istanbul- based Azerbaijani journalist and political analyst, said the verdict was disrespectful to the family of the victim.

“Innocent people in Azerbaijan get sentenced to six, seven or eight years for nothing without any evidence and yet somehow he gets away with just four years for a crime where there is plenty of evidence,” Ms Geybullayeva told the Conway Bulletin. “I think this simply indicates how crooked and unjust our court system is and how it is also disproportionate.”

This is an issue that has been raised time and again.

Rights activists have said that the court system in Azerbaijan is geared towards helping the powerful and crushing dissenters. Europe and the United States have both criticised the authorities in Azerbaijan for previ- ously using the courts to push their agendas.

Journalists and colleagues of Aliyev also said they thought that Huseynov, who has played 42 times for Azerbaijan, scoring two goals, and is revered by many ordinary Azerbaijanis, will be released soon under one of Azerbaijan’s semi-regular amnesties.

Aliyev died of multiple injuries in hospital in August 2015, the day after he had been beaten in retaliation for a critical Facebook note he posted after Huseynov had waved a Turkish flag to incite opposition fans during a match against Apollon, a team from Cyprus which is an enemy of Turkey. Before he died, Aliyev said that he had been lured to the Baku street by Huseynov.

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(News report from Issue No. 283, published on June 3 2016)

Kazakhstan wants better Karachaganak deal

ALMATY, JUNE 2 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — The Kazakh government has rejected a $300m settlement for a $1.6b fine it levied at the consortium of companies developing Karachaganak, the FT reported quoting Kanat Bozumbayev, Kazakhstan’s energy minister, fuelling speculation it may want to leverage a bigger stake in the project.

Mr Bozumbayev said the government had dismissed a settlement offer from the consortium.

“It has already returned the investment shareholders made, and now it will give Kazakhstan profits, so we are negotiating,” Mr Bozumbayev said.

This week, Bloomberg quoted unnamed sources as saying that Kazakhstan is seeking to increase its share in the consortium, led by Eni (29.25% stake), Shell (29.25% through BG), Chevron (18%), Lukoil (13.5%) and state-owned Kazmunaigas (10%).

Kazmunaigas gained its 10% stake in Karachaganak in 2011 after settling a lawsuit against the consortium for tax evasion and environmental damage.

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(News report from Issue No. 283, published on June 3 2016)

Kazakh airline opens new links to Georgia

MAY 30 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — SkyBus, a small airline in Kazakhstan, opened additional charter flights for the summer months from eight different Kazakh cities to the Georgian resort town of Batumi, on the Black Sea coast. Batumi is Georgia’s tourist hotspot and the new air link shows how popular it is becoming with ordinary Kazakhs.

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(News report from Issue No. 283, published on June 3 2016)

Refinery capacity rises in Turkmenistan

MAY 31 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Turkmenistan’s ministry of oil and gas said it wants to double oil refining capacity in the country over the next three years, in an effort to increase the domestic output of oil products. The ministry said it plans to increase capacity to 20m tonnes by 2020 and then to 30m tonnes by 2030. Last year, Turkmenistan missed its goal of reaching its refining capacity of 15m tonnes. It currently only process around 11m tonnes/year.

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(News report from Issue No. 283, published on June 3 2016)

Tajik President’s daughter rises

MAY 29 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Ozoda Rakhmon, daughter of Tajik President Emomali Rakhmon, was elected senator after a local by-election for Tajikistan’s 33-seat upper house of parliament. Ms Rakhmon won all votes cast by the 201 Dushanbe administrators that were eligible to vote, according to official media. In January, Ms Rakhmon, 38, was named head of the Presidential Administration. It is unclear whether Ms Rakhmon will have to relinquish her previous post to serve as senator.

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(News report from Issue No. 283, published on June 3 2016)

Russia to ship oil to China, via Kazakhstan

MAY 30 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Nurtas Shmanov, head of Kazakhstan’s pipeline operator KazTransOil, said the company is ready to increase shipments of Russian oil to China via a Kazakh pipeline from 7m to 10m tonnes/year. Mr Shmanov said the pipeline wouldn’t need to be expanded to carry out the operation, effectively hinting that Kazakhstan could downsize its own oil exports to China.

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(News report from Issue No. 283, published on June 3 2016)

German investors present resort plan for Kazakhstan

MAY 29 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — German investors presented a €30b ($34b) plan for the development of Kenderli, a new resort town on Kazakhstan’s Caspian Sea shore. The plan to build a new city near Aktau, to host around 200,000 inhabitants and several thousand tourists, has been touted for years. Now a group of German companies said it is ready to fund an initial €600m ($675m) for the project. Kazakhstan is trying to boost its tourist infrastructure and has earmarked the Caspian for development.

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(News report from Issue No. 283, published on June 3 2016)