Category Archives: Uncategorised

Editorial: The SCO

JULY 1 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — The Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) will expand next year to include Pakistan and India. Since its inception in Shanghai in 2001, the SCO has been led by China and Russia. It was formed to extend their influence over their shared near-abroad — Central Asia. SCO members include all the Central Asian states other than Turkmenistan.

Western analysts have previously referred to it as Russia and China’s version of NATO, mainly because of the very visible war games that it stages each year. But this is only one component of the SCO. More important, but less visible are the various social and economic projects conducted through the SCO apparatus. These have mainly involved China. Indeed it has given China a major footprint in the region and helped to extend its influence.

By opening up the SCO to Pakistan and India, the SCO is potentially changing its remit from a regional, Central Asia focused group to a far wider organisation that takes in the two most populous countries in the world. It may become less useful as an organisation to develop Central Asia and more useful as group for larger countries to discuss their problems.

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(Editorial from Issue No. 287, published on July 1 2016)

Azerbaijani woman has wrong leg amputated

JUNE 24 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — An Azerbaijani woman who went into hospital to have a gangrenous leg amputated woke up after the operation to find that the surgeon had cut off the wrong one.

Tarlan Aliyeva, 82, discovered that instead of the inflamed left leg, the right one had been cut off. The surgeon who performed the operation couldn’t be found. He had fled the hospital.

“The doctors did this to me,” a tearful Ms Aliyeva, now a double amputee, was shown on a Youtube video as saying.

“The doctors did that to me because of money. See, they cut it from the root. They are not doctors. If they were, I wouldn’t be in this situation now.”

The case has gripped Azerbaijan with many people reacting with anger at the incompetence of, and corruption in the Azerbaijani medical profession.

“By law, most medical services are free of charge but in reality, you can never get a proper service without bribing,” Ilkin, a 38-year old IT specialist from Baku, told the Conway Bulletin

Reacting to the news, the health ministry has established a special commission to investigate the case jointly with law enforcement authorities.

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(News report from Issue No. 287, published on July 1 2016)

Kyrgyz Parliament approves BTA stake sale

JUNE 29 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – The Kyrgyz Parliament approved the sale of a 15.4% stake in BTA Bank Kyrgyzstan to Kazakh investors. The stake previously belonged to Daniyar Usenov, former Kyrgyz PM, who fled the country after a revolution in 2010 toppled President Kurmanbek Bakiyev. The new Kyrgyz government took possession of his stake in BTA and sentenced him to 15 years in prison for abuse of power in 2013.

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(News report from Issue No. 287, published on July 1 2016)

inApril makes deal with Kazakhstan-based Geo Energy

JUNE 30 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – inApril, a Norwegian oil and gas service company, said it had reached a deal with Kazakhstan-based Geo Energy Group to supply it with a seismic acquisition system. The deal, worth up to $30m, according to inApril, will improve the technological footprint of Geo Energy Group, which provides seismic assessments of oil and gas basins in offshore sections of the Caspian Sea.

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(News report from Issue No. 287, published on July 1 2016)

Kazakhstan and Iran to build refinery

JUNE 27 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Kazakhstan and Iran will build a new refinery in the Iranian Caspian Sea port of Amirabad, Golestan,specifically to process Kazakh oil for export. It is unclear how much the refinery is going to cost to build and when it will be operational but it is probably the biggest single joint venture between the two countries since many Western sanctions on Iran were lifted in January.

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(News report from Issue No. 287, published on July 1 2016)

Georgia is the best route, says Iran

JUNE 28 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Iran’s oil refining and distribution company said that it views Georgia as the best route to send its various petroleum products to Europe. Iran and Georgia have developed increasingly close economic and business relations over the past few years and there is now relatively high number of Iranian businesses and nationals living in Tbilisi. They had viewed Georgia as a potential route around sanctions.

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(News report from Issue No. 287, published on July 1 2016)

Brexit knocks economies in Kazakhstan & Georgia

JUNE 30 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Brexit, Britain’s vote to leave the EU in a referendum on June 23, pushed down stock markets, commodities and currencies worldwide, including in South Caucasus and Central Asia where politicians and business leaders warned of problems ahead.

Kazakhstan was hit by both currency instability and the sudden drop in oil prices, which fell below the $50/barrel threshold it had recovered to earlier this year after the rout of 2014 and 2015.

Uzakbai Karabalin, Kazakhstan’s former oil minister and now deputy chairman of the oil and gas lobby group KAZENERGY, said the government will have to revise down the baseline for oil prices in the national budget this year.

“[Brexit] has already affected oil prices,” he said. “The first response was a decline. Now the economic base price is $50/barrel.”

Previously, the government had said the baseline for this year could have grown to $60/barrel, so a drop to $50/barrel is a pessimistic assessment of the impact of Brexit.

Georgia, less impacted by low oil prices, felt the Brexit effect on its currency, the lari. The lari has fallen by 4.5% since June 23 and Dimitry Kumsishvili, the economy minister, blamed the Brexit result.

“This is most likely a one-off that is directly connected to the UK’s decision to quit the European Union. Of course, this immediately affects our currency,” Mr Kumsishvili said.

He warned that the impact of Brexit had only just started to feed through into the world’s economy and that more economic shocks in the region were likely.

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(News report from Issue No. 287, published on July 1 2016)

Kazakhstan wins UN Security Council seat

ALMATY, JUNE 28 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — The UN General Assembly elected Kazakhstan to hold a non- permanent seat at the UN Security Council, with 138 votes in favour out of 193, a major PR coup for President Nursultan Nazarbayev who coveted the position and ordered a sustained campaign to win it.

And Mr Nazarbayev quickly hailed the news as a success.

“Kazakhstan’s election as a non- permanent member of the UN Security Council is a historic achievement. This is not only our country’s success but that of the entire sub-region of Central Asia,” he said.

Kazakhstan will hold the seat at the 15-member Security Council for two years, from Jan. 1 2017. It is the first country in Central Asia to hold the position. Azerbaijan held anon- permanent seat at the UN Security Council in 2012/13.

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(News report from Issue No. 287, published on July 1 2016)

Lithuania refuses Shalabaev extradition for Kazakhstan

JUNE 28 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – In a snub to the Kazakh government, a court in Lithuania said that it won’t order the government to detain and extradite the brother-in- law of Mukhtar Ablyazov, the billionaire former opposition leader. Syrym Shalabayev is the brother of Ablyazov’s wife. He was given asylum in Lithuania. Ablyazov is in French custody fighting extradition charges to Kazakhstan for allegedly stealing $5b when he was chairman of BTA Bank.

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(News report from Issue No. 287, published on July 1 2016)

Kazakh Air Astana starts flights to Iran

JUNE 30 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Kazakhstan’s flagship carrier Air Astana said it started direct flights to Iran, after it had delayed starting the route in May. From June 30, Air Astana will fly three times a week between Almaty and Tehran. Kazakhstan and Iran have tried to boost business ties since western countries lifted sanctions on Iran in January.

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(News report from Issue No. 287, published on July 1 2016)