Category Archives: Uncategorised

Tajikistan turns down Kyrgyz request for extra power

DUSHANBE, JULY 26 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Tajikistan’s minister of energy, Usmonali Usmonzoda, said he had turned down a request from Kyrgyzstan for extra electricity because the Tajik power generating system did not have any spare capacity.

The inability of Tajikistan to send power to Kyrgyzstan shows just how interdependent countries in Central Asia are. It also comes at a time when extra scrutiny is being placed on the power generation systems in Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan as they build up to powering the World Bank-backed $1.2b CASA-1000 power system to Pakistan.

At a press conference in Dushanbe, Mr Usmonzoda said that, due to rising industrial activity, Tajikistan does not have spare capacity.

“Kyrgyzstan asked for 2.5b kWh of electricity at 2.5 cents/kWh,” he told reporters. “This is a large volume and, because of the emergence of new domestic energy consumers, we decided to refrain from the supply.”

Last year, Tajikistan signed a short term supply agreement with Kyrgyzstan to export 146m kWh over the winter for 2.5 cent/kWh.

Now, though, Tajikistan may be looking for a better price.

Independent Bishkek-based energy expert Rasul Umbetaliyev told the KyrTAG news agency: “The minister diplomatically avoided answering directly, but the price for electricity exports from Tajikistan is currently 3.5 – 7 cents/kWh.”

Tajikistan is investing heavily in its power generating systems. It has approved a $3.9b project to build the Rogun hydropower system.

But with its economy stalling and industrial production lying stagnant rather than rising, production problems and not excessive demand could be holding back Tajikistan’s power exports.

Its electricity distributor, Barqi Tojik, has piled up $1.5b in debt. It hasn’t paid for the electricity it bought from power stations and it is still waiting to be paid by its largest customers.

The government is planning to split Barqi Tojik and bail it out.

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(News report from Issue No. 291, published on Aug. 1 2016)

EBRD considers Azerbaijani gas

JULY 26 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) said it is negotiating financing TAP, a trans-Adriatic gas pipeline which forms part of the so-called Southern Gas Corridor network that will pump Azerbaijani gas to Europe. In an interview with AP, the EBRD said it is looking to invest €500m ($550m) in the project. Azerbaijan’s state-owned SOCAR (20%), BP (20%), Italy’s Snam (20%), Belgium’s Fluxys (19%), Spain’s Enagas (16%), and Switzerland’s Axpo (5%) own TAP.

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(News report from Issue No. 291, published on Aug. 1 2016)

Gunman in Kazakhstan states his motives

JULY 27 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Ruslan Kulekbayev, who shot and killed six people and injured six others in Almaty in a shooting spree that triggered a major terrorism alert earlier this month, said that there were no religious motives involved in his rampage. The newspaper Vremya published extracts of Kulekbayev’s deposition, where the shooter dismissed any ties with religious organisations. Instead he said that he was protesting against what he said was unfair treatment from the authorities.

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(News report from Issue No. 291, published on Aug. 1 2016)

Kazakh tenge slides to five-month low

ALMATY, JULY 28 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Kazakhstan’s Central Bank said it will not intervene to prop up the tenge currency after it lost 3.5% of its value over the past week, hitting a five-month low of 354/$1 on Thursday.

This is the sharpest drop since February, the tail-end of a two year fall for the tenge during which it has lost half its value against the US dollar.

Even so, Adil Mukhamedzhanov, deputy director for monetary operations at the Central Bank, told Kazakh media that interventions would be light.

“Several factors impacted the exchange rate, chiefly low oil prices and worsening exchange rates of our trading partners,” he was quoted as saying.

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(News report from Issue No. 291, published on Aug. 1 2016)

Georgia’s Central Bank to cut interest rate

JULY 27 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Georgia’s Central Bank said on Wednesday it cut its key interest rate by a quarter of a percentage point to 6.75%. The decision is in line with the Bank’s policy of containing inflation while reducing the rate to within a 5% – 6% corridor in the short term. Since April, the Bank has cut interest rates three times from the previous level of 8%.

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(News report from Issue No. 291, published on Aug. 1 2016)

Turkmen President reprimands several officials

JULY 23 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — During a visit to the Mary province, Turkmen President Kurbanguly Berdymukhamedov reprimanded several government officials and sacked several others for delays to various construction projects, opposition websites reported. Earlier in July, during a visit to the Lebap province, Mr Berdymukhamedov sacked 11 public officials. As Mr Berdymukhamedov fights to contain the fallout from a worsening economic outlook, his rampages against and sackings of government officials intensifies.

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(News report from Issue No. 291, published on Aug. 1 2016)

Tajikistan to open railway to the south

DUSHANBE, JULY 25 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Tajikistan has finished building a new railway connecting the capital city with the south, that avoids the headache of passing through Uzbekistan.

The Dushanbe- Kurgan Tyube-Kulob route effectively lifts its southern region out of economic isolation and removes Uzbekistan’s ability to close the route at will and use it as a bargaining tool. The Soviet Union had built Tajikistan’s railway through parts of Uzbekistan to avoid the more challenging Pamiri terrain.

Usmon Kalandarov, deputy director of the Tajik Railways company, said that the railway, which will be opened on Aug. 24, was built with the financial support of Chinese Eximbank.

“The construction of five bridges and three tunnels on this road has been financed by the Chinese bank Eximbank with a loan of 72m somoni ($9.2m),” he said at a press conference.

In 2011, in retaliation for plans to build a dam that would divert water away from its cotton crops, Uzbekistan cut the original railway line. Other than a dangerous and unreliable single road that weaved its way through the Pamir mountains, this effectively cut off the south of the country.

Sardor, a 52-years-old local trader, told The Conway Bulletin correspondent in Dushanbe that he has been waiting for the railway to be finished.

“I bring fruits and vegetables from southern towns to Dushanbe and vice-versa. It is inefficient for me to use trucks, they are expensive and take a long time,” Sardor said as he sold melons. “I think the new railway will be good for me because I will pay less to transport goods, which will not have to go through Uzbekistan and be in trouble like before.”

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(News report from Issue No. 291, published on Aug. 1 2016)

Stock market: Nostrum Oil and Gas

AUG 1 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Amsterdam-based Nostrum Oil & Gas has posted lower revenues and production in H1 2016, but its share price continued to hold at around 300p because of bullish forward forecasts.

The company’s CEO Kai-Uwe Kessel said that in an era of low oil prices, cost-cutting is paramount. He also said that the company was focusing on building a small pipeline that would reduce its transport costs in 2017.

By focusing on cutting costs, however, the company seems to have been unable to regain either its production or its revenue stream from last year. Both were down by 12% and 41% respectively in H1 2016.

In the company’s statement, Mr Kessel remained confident that Nostrum’s production target will be met by the end of the year.

“We look forward to increasing production throughout the second half of the year to achieve our target 2016 production of 40,000 boepd,” he said.

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(News report from Issue No. 291, published on Aug. 1 2016)

Kyrgyzstan resists pressure to close Gulen-linked schools

BISHKEK, JULY 25 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Kyrgyzstan’s foreign minister Yerlan Abdyldayev shrugged off Turkey’s request to shut down Gulen-linked schools and told Ankara not to interfere in domestic Kyrgyz affairs, in what could spiral into a diplomatic spat between the two allies.

Last week, Turkish foreign minister, Mevlut Cavusoglu, sent a note to Kyrgyzstan asking to close 30 high schools and one university in Kyrgyzstan financed by the Gulenist movement, which Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has accused of masterminding a failed coup in mid- July.

The Kyrgyz side sent a strong reply, that, while stressing the importance of bilateral relations, rejected Turkey’s demands.

“We believe it is wrong that a minister of foreign affairs of one country instructs another country to take certain steps, especially using a language of ultimatums and blackmail,” Mr Abdyldayev said in his official reply.

The view was reflected on the streets of Bishkek.

“Turkey has no right to interfere in our internal affairs, Mr Erdogan’s issues with the opposition are Turkey’s own problems,” Alexander, 34, told The Conway Bulletin.

Kazakhstan gave a similar response to a similar request from Turkey over the weekend.

The Kyrgyz and Kazakh responses suggest a reduced role for Turkey in Central Asia. Turkey’s influence in Central Asia peaked soon after the break up of the Soviet Union in the mid 1990s. Since the turn of the century, though, it has ceded ground to a resurgent Russia and an ambitious China which has been looking to boost influence over what it sees as its near abroad.

Analysts also said Kyrgyzstan may be unwilling to shut down the Gulen- linked institutions because they were considered relatively high quality.

“Gulen’s education system showed how education can look, and there are many excellent graduates who work in state and private sectors,” said political analyst Mars Sariyev.

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(News report from Issue No. 291, published on Aug. 1 2016)

China pursues Tajik gold

JULY 22 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) — Chinese power engineering company TBEA received a licence to develop the Eastern Duoba and Upper Kumarg gold mines. The company, which won a tender to build a thermal power plant in Dushanbe in 2014, completed exploration works at the two mines in June. Chinese investment in Tajikistan has grown significantly in the past decade.

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(News report from Issue No. 291, published on Aug. 1 2016)