Category Archives: Central Asia & South Caucasus News

Kazakhs do not express concerns about constitutional changes

ALMATY, MARCH 20 2017 (The Conway Bulletin) — Betraying a lack of interest in politics, most people in Almaty who spoke to The Conway Bulletin about changes to the Kazakh constitution made earlier this month just shrugged their shoulders.

Some were concerned that Kazakh President Nursultan Nazarbayev made the changes to hand more power to parliament without consultation but they were in the minority.

Aigerim, a 25-year-old woman working in service sector, said casually: “I haven’t heard of the constitutional changes. I don’t know, I couldn’t care less. They will decide [do what they want] anyway, they will not ask us.”

There was also a degree of scepticism over how much power parliament will really be given.

Malik, 60, said: “Parliament will not be given decision-making power, it is just formality. Nazarbayev is and will be the only person in power.”

These views were echoed by most people that the Bulletin spoke to, although the issue of land ownership has dominated some discussion groups.

Land is a touchy subject in Kazakhstan. Last year, people protested in several cities across the country against a change to the law that was going to give foreigners improved rights to land ownership in Kazakhstan. The constitutional changes brought in by Mr Nazarbayev hasn’t touched the issue of land rights but that didn’t stop it dominating conversations.

Rabiga, a pensioner, said: “I do care, I have my family living here. I have heard of (the constitutional changes) but don’t know the details. But I heard there was one article on land that is changed from citizen to anybody. I have read about it a lot.”

Most analysts said that Mr Nazarbayev has tinkered with the constitution to try to split power between a number of people in order to avoid any one person dominating Kazakh politics when he leaves. The 76-year-old hasn’t yet unveiled plans for his accession.

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Copyright ©The Conway Bulletin — all rights reserved

(News report from Issue No. 321, published on March 20 2017)

Eurasian Bank agrees to loan Kyrgyzstan

MARCH 14 2017 (The Conway Bulletin) — The Eurasian Development Bank has signed a deal with Kyrgyzstan to provide a loan of $110m to finance the construction of Unit 2 at the Kambarata hydropower plant, media reported. The Eurasian Development Bank is the bank of the Eurasian Economic Union. The funds for the hydropower development will come out of a special unit put aside to assist Kyrgyzstan joining the EEU in 2015.

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Copyright ©The Conway Bulletin — all rights reserved

(News report from Issue No. 321, published on March 20 2017)

Turkmen president travels to Qatar looking for investors

MARCH 15 2017 (The Conway Bulletin) — Turkmen president Kurbanguly Berdymukhamedov travelled to Qatar to try to charm its leaders into investing in Turkmenistan. The Turkmen economy is under pressure from sustained low oil and gas prices. In particular Qatar’s state news agency said that Mr Berdymukhamedov was looking for investment in the so-called TAPI gas pipeline that will run from gas fields in Turkmenistan across Afghanistan to Pakistan and India, and also for investment in gas processing plants.

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Copyright ©The Conway Bulletin — all rights reserved

(News report from Issue No. 321, published on March 20 2017)

Tasmagambetov swears in as Kazakh ambassador to Russia

MARCH 16 2017 (The Conway Bulletin) — Imangali Tasmagambetov, formerly the mayor of Astana and Almaty and also an ex-defence minister, was sworn in as Kazakhstan’s ambassador to Russia. Mr Tasmagambetov had been considered a potential successor to President Nursultan Nazarbayev but most observers considered his shift to Moscow to be a demotion. Others argued that he needed to spend time with Kazakhstan’s most important ally, Russia, before he could be considered as a successor for President Nazarbayev.

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Copyright ©The Conway Bulletin — all rights reserved

(News report from Issue No. 321, published on March 20 2017)

 

Currencies: Azerbaijani manat

MARCH 20 2017 (The Conway Bulletin) — The Azerbaijani manat continued its strong return to form, pushing up to 1.7286/$1 by March 17, its strongest level against the US dollar since the beginning of November 2016.

At its weakest point, the manat had been valued at 1.9517/$1 in February, meaning that it has strengthened by nearly 11.5%.

The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) has said that this manat strength is probably due to a transfer of 7.5b manat ($4.3b) from the SOFAZ, the state oil fund, to the Central Bank to boost the economy. The Azerbaijani economy has been looking fragile, because of the depressed price of oil, and it has needed the cash injection.

The Kazakh tenge and the Georgian lari also rose marginally in value throughout the week, although the Kyrgyz som and the Tajik somoni fell in value. The Kyrgyz som is surfing near its lowest point since mid-September 2016.

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Copyright ©The Conway Bulletin — all rights reserved

(News report from Issue No. 321, published on March 20 2017)

Tajik court increases lawyers sentence

MARCH 26 2017 (The Conway Bulletin) — A court in Tajikistan extended by two years a jail sentence imposed on human rights lawyer Buzurgmehr Yorov who was imprisoned in October 2016 for 23 years for allegedly calling for a coup. At his trial, Yorov called the allegations against him politically motivated. He then read out a verse from a poem likening officials to fools, leading to a charge of contempt of court and the additional two year prison sentence which have now been passed down.

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(News report from Issue No. 321, published on March 20 2017)

Azerbaijan finds corpse in Caspian

MARCH 13 2017 (The Conway Bulletin) — Another male corpse was found in the Caspian Sea, possibly one of the missing men from an oil platform that collapsed into the Azerbaijani sector of the sea that killed 9 people in December. Bodies of the dead men have been washing up across the Caspian Sea coastline. The year before, at least 30 people had died when a storm caused a fire at a Caspian Sea oil rig.

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(News report from Issue No. 321, published on March 20 2017)

Azerbaijan buys trains from Kazakhstan

MARCH 13 2017 (The Conway Bulletin) — A Kazakh factory producing trains has delivered 10 locomotives to Azerbaijan, media reported. The Trend news agency said that Lokomotiv Kurastyru Zauyty had also sent locomotives to Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Ukraine and Turkmenistan. This is important for Kazakhstan as it is trying to boost its manufacturing sector. Azerbaijan is, itself, trying to boost its role as a pivot for global trade and has said it will buy more trains if it can secure a north-south trade route between India and Russia.

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Copyright ©The Conway Bulletin — all rights reserved

(News report from Issue No. 321, published on March 20 2017)

 

Comment: SCO expansion should not threaten the West, says Pantucci

MARCH 20 2017 (The Conway Bulletin) — The Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) has achieved remarkably little in its decade plus life.

Established formally in 2001, it grew out of a regional grouping aimed at seeking to define China’s borders with the former Soviet Union. Over time, it has expanded beyond its immediate neighbourhood to include countries as distant at Belarus and Sri Lanka as ‘dialogue partners’.

The current push to welcome both India and Pakistan is likely to further test the organisation’s already limited capability. The practical implications for Central Asia are unlikely to be dramatic, though in the longer term it may help bind Central and South Asia closer together and foster a greater sense of community across the Eurasian heartland.

In practical terms, the SCO has always been a fairly limited organisation. Seen initially by Russia as a way of controlling Chinese activity in Central Asia, for Beijing it has provided a useful umbrella under which to pursue their stealthy expansion in the region. For Central Asian powers, it provided another format in which to engage their larger neighbours. While the primary thrust of its activity has been in the security space, China has regularly sought to push it in an economic direction.

Yet, at the same time, all of the countries involved have largely pursued their own national interests through other pathways. The most recent demonstration was the establishment by Beijing of the Quadrilateral Cooperation and Coordination Mechanism (QCCM). Focused on managing the security threats from Afghanistan, the QCCM in many ways replicates a function which one would have expected the SCO to deliver.

The addition of Pakistan and India to the grouping is unlikely to change this dynamic.

All of the nations involved in the SCO will continue to function through their own bilateral and other multilateral engagements. But it will offer another forum in which India and Pakistan are obliged to interact and will also help further tie Central and South Asia together. These ties have been growing for some time. Kazakhstan has expressed an interest in participating in the China- Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) and Indian President Narendra Modi visited Central Asia last year.

If India and Pakistan join the SCO, it will further help tie them together.

By Raffaello Pantucci, director of International Security Studies at the London-based Royal United Service Institute (RUSI).

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Copyright ©The Conway Bulletin — all rights reserved

(News report from Issue No. 321, published on March 20 2017)

Kyrgyzstan relaxes Iranian visa rules

MARCH 16 2017 (The Conway Bulletin) — Kyrgyzstan said that it had simplified visa rules for Iranians, matching a trend in the region. Iran and Kyrgyzstan have been boosting trade, diplomatic and tourist links. Georgia and Armenia have already scrapped visa requirements for Iranians and other countries are also relaxing rules. Iran is seen as an important economic driver for the region, especially since some sanctions were lifted last year.

ENDS

Copyright ©The Conway Bulletin — all rights reserved

(News report from Issue No. 321, published on March 20 2017)