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Comment: Sariyev puts himself forward for presidency, says Kilner

FEB. 4 2017 (The Conway Bulletin) — Temir Sariyev, until April 2016 Kyrgyzstan’s PM, put himself forward to run in a presidential election set for later this year, the first salvo in what could be a genuinely competitive vote to replace the incumbent Almazbek Atambayev.

The 53-year-old Sariyev had made it known since his resignation as PM over alleged links to corruption allegations that he still harboured ambitions to hold high office, and his candidacy for the top job via his Ak-Shumkar party, will not surprise observers. If anything, Mr Sariyev is considered an insider and could be a natural heir apparent for Atambayev who, as laid out by the constitution, is leaving the presidency after his single term in power.

He has not yet named a preferred successor although some analysts have said that this, in time, may end up being Sariyev.

Sariyev was Atambayev’s economy minister for four years before becoming PM in May 2015, the fifth PM since a revolution in 2010. At the time of his appointment analysts thought that with Sariyev, the government finally had a figurehead who had the political nous, backing and resilience to survive the country’s notoriously cut-throat politics. This was not to be the case, though, and he was forced to resign only 11 months later over his alleged links to a corrupt road building scheme.

A staunch proponent of close links with the Kremlin, Sariyev was the PM who, with Atambayev as president, took Kyrgyzstan into the Eurasian Economic Union, which also includes Belarus, Armenia and Kazakhstan.

Kyrgyzstan was the last to join in August 2015 and has always been its most reluctant member, with many businessmen and MPs blaming it for hindering Kyrgyzstan’s economy. Sariyev, though, has always backed its membership, a controversial stance in Kyrgyz politics.

But then Sariyev has always appeared to court controversy.

He is remembered in Kyrgyzstan for playing a key role in urging people to storm the security services headquarters in Bishkek in 2010 at the start of a revolution that would overthrow president Kurmanbek Bakiyev.

The question for Sariyev now is whether he can build his support — and he needs both support from inside the political system and support from the electorate — if he is going to win the election in November. His tenureship as PM was not an overly happy one and there were no anguished protests when he left office.

By James Kilner, Editor, The Conway Bulletin

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Copyright ©The Conway Bulletin — all rights reserved

(News report from Issue No. 316, published on Feb. 10 2017)

Kyrgyzstan to sign deal with EU

FEB. 9 2017 (The Conway Bulletin) — Kyrgyzstan and the EU may sign a new general cooperation agreement next week to replace a deal that has not been updated for 20 years, media reported by quoting the EU ambassador in Bishkek, Cesare de Montis, as saying. There is an element of window dressing in this deal but it is still an important agreement for Kyrgyzstan.

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(News report from Issue No. 316, published on Feb. 10 2017)

Georgian parliament rejects presidential amendments

FEB. 9 2017 (The Conway Bulletin) — Georgia’s parliament, dominated by the Dream Dream Coalition, voted overwhelmingly against amendments proposed by President Giorgi Margvelashvili to a bill which he said would impair the impartiality of judges. He had sent a bill drawn up by the Georgian Dream back for a second look. Georgian Dream have a so-called Constitutional Majority, controlling more than 3/4 of the seats in the 150-seat chamber.

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(News report from Issue No. 316, published on Feb. 10 2017)

Currencies: Kazakh tenge, Azerbaijani manat, Georgian lari

FEB. 10 2017 (The Conway Bulletin) — The Azerbaijani manat and the Georgian lari jumped by 6.6% and 5.7% in the week to Feb. 9, a sharp jolt against their predominantly downward trajectories.

The manat was valued at 1.82/$1 on Feb. 9, a one month high. The lari was valued at 2.63/$1, a two- month high.

In Baku, some currency analysts said that this was the start of a realignment of the national currency that would see it appreciate back up to around 1.5/$1, a level not seen since mid-2016. They argued that the currency was undervalued and that as oil prices continue to rise, even slightly, and the economy improves, the manat will strengthen.

Other analysts are more cautious and have said that a multi- million dollar one-off transfer from Azerbaijan’s state oil fund to the government has boosted the value of the manat temporarily and that the decline will continue in the longer term.

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(News report from Issue No. 316, published on Feb. 10 2017)

Georgian company to export pipe to EU

FEB. 10 2017 (The Conway Bulletin) — Off the back of a trade agreement signed with the European Union last year, Georgian company Rustavi Metallurgical Plant will start exporting seamless pipes to Italy, Germany, Poland, Bulgaria and Hungary, media reported. The deal gave Georgian companies access to the EU market. Earlier this year a Georgian wool company said it had started exporting to Britain.

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(News report from Issue No. 316, published on Feb. 10 2017)

Austrian police raids Kazakh team’s hotel

FEB. 9 2017 (The Conway Bulletin) — Austrian police raided the Kazakh biathlon team’s hotel looking for evidence of drug taking on the eve of the World Championships. Kazakhstan wants its sports teams to be taken more seriously and this drug raid will be an embarrassment, doubly so presumably, because of its previously stated determination to host the Winter Olympic Games. Kazakh team officials have denied any wrongdoing.

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(News report from Issue No. 316, published on Feb. 10 2017)

Belarus deports Russian blogger to Azerbaijan

FEB. 8 2017 (The Conway Bulletin) — Belarus extradited Russian travel blogger Alexander Lapshin to Baku to face charges of supporting Armenia- backed rebels in the disputed region of Nagorno-Karabakh.

Free speech activists have said thatMr Lapshin’s arrest and extradition are symptomatic of Azerbaijani president Ilham Aliyev’s authoritarian tendencies.

And in rare move, Russia released a statement criticising the blogger’s arrest.

Mr Lapshin is a relatively popular blogger who is better known for whimsical asides about his travel exploits and his travel pictures rather than his political musings. He travels on three different passports — Russian, Ukrainian and Israeli — and reportedly travelled to Nagorno-Karabakh in 2011 and 2012.

It is not clear why Mr Laphin’s trips to the region would have upset Azerbaijan and its authorities so much.

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Copyright ©The Conway Bulletin — all rights reserved

(News report from Issue No. 316, published on Feb. 10 2017)

Georgia tempts rebel areas with EU visa-free access

TBILISI, FEB. 6 2017 (The Conway Bulletin) — Georgia was accused of baiting its rebel regions of South Ossetia and Abkhazia with its recently won visa-free access to the European Union.

The row is a reminder to the EU that closer ties with Georgia come with attachments to the Georgia Russia stand-off over the two Georgian breakaway states. Georgia and Russia fought a brief war over the two regions less than a decade ago which ended in Russian soldiers temporarily occupying part of Georgia and the Kremlin recognising both South Ossetia and Abkhazia as independent.

In a speech shortly after the Euro- pean Parliament voted to approve 90-day visa-free access to Georgia and Ukraine to the 26-nation Schengen Area, Georgian PM Giorgi Kvirikashvili said that people living in the breakaway regions could also enjoy the easier access to the EU if they reapplied for a Georgian passport.

“We are happy that our Abkhazian and Ossetian citizens will join us in enjoying every benefit offered by close relations with Europe,” he said. The rebel regions were not amused and said Mr Kvirikashvili was trying to leverage political capital out of the European Parliament vote by trying to persuade people living in South Ossetia and Abkhazia to move back to Georgia. Mikheil Saakashvili, Georgian president from 2004 until 2013, deployed similar sweetener tactics, by building public swimming pools next to South Ossetia and holding rock concerts within earshot of Tskhinvali, its capital.

The authorities in Abkhazia, on the Black Sea coast, released a statement.

“It is obvious that after a complete failure of the idea of the so-called neutral passports, the Georgian government decided to use another type of bait in the form of visa liberalization for citizens of the Republic of Abkhazia. It is clear that the Georgian government’s attempt will fail,” it said.

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Copyright ©The Conway Bulletin — all rights reserved

(News report from Issue No. 316, published on Feb. 10 2017)

Kazakh police arrests independent editor

FEB. 10 2017 (The Conway Bulletin) — Police in Kazakhstan arrested Zhanbolat Mamay, the editor of the independent Tribuna newspaper, on corruption charges, once again worrying free speech activists . The press in Kazakhstan has been steadily eroded with a series of high-profile arrest of journalists last year. Tribuna and Mr Mamay had been regarded as one of the few remaining independent news outlets. Free speech activists have described the crackdown as a systematic effort to muzzle critics of the government.

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Copyright ©The Conway Bulletin — all rights reserved

(News report from Issue No. 316, published on Feb. 10 2017)

Kazakhstan to buy Serbian stake in railway

FEB. 8 2017 (The Conway Bulletin) — Serbia has agreed to sell its 90.64% stake in railway construction and maintenance firm ZGOP to Kazakhstan’s Zhol Zhondeushi for 3.63m euros, media reported. ZGOP is based in the Serbian city of Novi Sad and employs 290 people and has outstanding debts of $8.2m. In 2012, Zhol Zhondeushi made headlines after it emerged that it had been sold by ENRC to one of the company’s nephew’s for an inflated price.

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Copyright ©The Conway Bulletin — all rights reserved

(News report from Issue No. 316, published on Feb. 10 2017)