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EBRD says Azerbaijan’s economy will shrink

MAY 10 2017 (The Conway Bulletin) — In its updated assessment of the Azerbaijani economy, the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) said that it expected its economy to shrink by 0.5% this year, the second consecutive year that Azerbaijan’s economy will contract, but that it will grow by 2% in 2018. Azerbaijan’s economy has been hit hard by a sharp slump in oil prices since mid-2014.

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(News report from Issue No. 328, published on May 12 2017)

 

 

Archpriest planned to kill Patriarch’s secretary, say Georgian officials

APRIL 28 2017 (The Conway Bulletin) — Georgia’s Prosecutor’s Office said that they are going to charge Archpriest Giorgi Mamaladze with plotting to murder the secretary of Patriarch Ilia II, ending weeks of speculation that the head of the Georgian Orthodox Church had been the intended target. Archpriest Mamaladze was arrested in January carrying cyanide as he boarded a plane bound for Germany where Ilia II had been receiving hospital treatment. Prosecutors now believe that he had a vendetta against Patriarch Shorena Tetruashvili, Ilia II’s secretary.

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(News report from Issue No. 327, published on May 5 2017)

Azerbaijani court considers blocking critical websites

MAY 1 2017 (The Conway Bulletin) — A court in Azerbaijan has started considering the government’s request to block access to a range of websites that it considers to be excessively critical, including the US-funded Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty. Media freedom activists have said that the move is a blatant attack on free speech. The US and the EU have clashed with Azerbaijan’s President Ilham Aliyev over his treatment of the media and opposition activists.

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(News report from Issue No. 327, published on May 5 2017)

Corruption allegations linked to Azerbaijan forces Maltese PM to call snap election

MAY 2 2017 (The Conway Bulletin) — Malta’s PM, Joseph Muscat, called a parliamentary election, after failing to shrug off allegations of corruption linked to deals with Azerbaijan.

For Azerbaijan, the allegations again suggest that President Ilham Aliyev is presiding over an administration comfortable with paying bribes and laundering money. Azerbaijani officials have either ignored or denied the allegations.

The media in Malta has alleged various corrupt schemes involving offshore companies linked to senior officials in Malta and Azerbaijan.

Azerbaijan’s main link to Malta is through a power station it is paying to build. In return, the power station has agreed to buy all its gas from Azerbaijan’s state-owned Socar. Malta-registered entities also own shares in Azerbaijani companies.

These corruption allegations are just the latest levied at Mr Aliyev and senior Azerbaijani officials.

This year the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe launched an investigation into alleged payments of 2.4m euros by Azerbaijan to Italian lawmaker Luce Volonte in return for help derailing attempts to criticise a human rights crackdown.

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(News report from Issue No. 327, published on May 5 2017)

Hunt is on for terrorists in Uzbekistan

MAY 2 2017 (The Conway Bulletin) — Uzbek interior minister Abdulsalom Azizov said that every day the security forces are uncovering militants who have fought for the radical group IS in Syria trying to return to Uzbekistan disguised as migrant workers. Western security services are increasingly concerned that Central Asia is becoming a hotbed of radical Islam.

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(News report from Issue No. 327, published on May 5 2017)

 

Trade boosts between Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan

APRIL 29 2017 (The Conway Bulletin) — Bilateral trade between Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan has increased by 37% already, Kazakh president Nursultan Nazarbayev said at a meeting with Uzbek president Shavkat Mirziyoyev in the south of the country. He was comparing the first three months of this year to the same period in 2016. Mr Mirziyoyev has made improving relations with Uzbekistan’s neighbours one of his main policy initiatives since taking over in September last year.

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(News report from Issue No. 327, published on May 5 2017)

Kazakhstan wants to act as OPEC of uranium

MAY 2 2017 (The Conway Bulletin) — Kazakhstan wants to act as the OPEC of the uranium world, manipulating prices with its supply- side dominance, Samruk Kazyna director Berik Beisengaliyev said in an interview with Bloomberg News. Samruk Kazyna is the Kazakh sovereign wealth fund which owns 100% of nuclear agency Kazatomprom. Kazatomprom mines 40% of the world’s uranium. Earlier this year it said it would cut output, sending depressed uranium prices up.

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(News report from Issue No. 327, published on May 5 2017)

24-hour news channel to be set up in Uzbekistan

MAY 5 2017 (The Conway Bulletin) — Uzbekistan will start broadcasting its own 24 news channel, the gazeta.uz news website reported by quoting a presidential decree. It’s not clear if Ozbeksitan-24 will broadcast in Russian or Uzbek or both, but the channel’s ambitions are clear as it will have a staff of over 250 journalists, including its own foreign correspondents. Pres. Shavkat Mirziyoyev has been critical of Uzbek state TV news coverage in the past, calling it boring.

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Copyright ©The Conway Bulletin — all rights reserved

(News report from Issue No. 327, published on May 5 2017)

House prices still fall in Kyrgyzstan

APRIL 28 2017 (The Conway Bulletin) — House prices in Kazakhstan are continuing to fall, an indication that the economy is still struggling to pull out of a deep slump linked to the collapse in oil prices since mid- 2014. The price tracking website homsters.kz said that only in Almaty were prices beginning to recover. The housing market fell sharply after a 50% cut in the value of the tenge in 2015.

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Copyright ©The Conway Bulletin — all rights reserved

(News report from Issue No. 327, published on May 5 2017)

Georgia raises minimum capital requirements for banks

TBILISI, MAY 5 2017 (The Conway Bulletin) — Georgia’s Central Bank will quadruple the minimum capital requirement that commercial banks have to hold to 50m lari ($20.5m), part of drive to reduce the number of small, weak banks in its financial system.

Acting on a recommendation from the IMF, the Georgian Central Bank said that commercial banks would need to hold capital of 30m lari by the end of the year, 40m lari by mid-2018 and 50m lari by the end of 2018. Currently the minimum capital requirement for a bank in Georgia is just $12.5m lari.

“It should be noted that in terms of minimum capital requirement Georgia has one of the lowest in the world, not in line with the financial sector’s development,” it said in a statement.

“The change was supported by the International Monetary Fund’s mission.”

Georgia and the rest of the Central Asia and South Caucasus region have been battling an economic downturn over the past three years that has eaten into the value of their currencies, undermined mortgage holders and companies holding large debt and bankrupted, or nearly bankrupted, a number of banks.

In Tajikistan only a government bail-out prevented a banking collapse; in Azerbaijan several small banks have been forced to close and the government has bought a majority stake in International Bank of Azerbaijan, the country’s biggest bank; in Kazakhstan the government has set up a bad loan fund for banks to dip into for support.

Georgia’s economy has survived the downturn in better shape than its neighbours – the lari proved more robust than the manat, which halved in value, but it still shook the banking sector. There are 17 banks operating in Georgia, the Central Bank said, roughly the same as 10 years ago. In 1995, there were 102 banks.

The two biggest, TBC and Bank of Georgia, are listed on the London Stock Exchange but many of the others are small, a legacy of the post- Soviet banking boom in the 1990s.

Last month the IMF approved a $285.3m loan on the understanding that Georgia would continue a series of economic reforms, including strengthening its banking sector.

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Copyright ©The Conway Bulletin — all rights reserved

(News report from Issue No. 327, published on May 5 2017)