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Kazakh Central Bank says that confidence in tenge has returned

APRIL 5 2016, ALMATY (The Conway Bulletin)  — Kazakhs have increased the amount of tenge they are keeping in bank accounts, suggesting that they now trust the currency once again despite it halving in value over the past seven months, Kazakhstan’s Central Bank said.

In February, Central Bank data showed that the amount of tenge saved in banks rose to 1.53 trillion tenge ($4.5b), up 5% from January. Significantly, too, the proportion of tenge as savings grew to 22% of the total, up from 20% in January.

Analysts said that two factors had contributed to this renewed confidence in the tenge. The first was that this year, the tenge has actually strengthened against the US dollar to around 340/$1 compared to an all- time low in mid-January of 390/$1.

In March, Kazakhstan’s Central Bank heavily intervened in the currency market, buying $1.2b on the Kazakh Stock Exchange, around 2.6 times more than it bought in February.

This, together with high liquidity ensured by capital held at the Single Pension Fund, helped to improve the tenge’s position, analysts said.

“The Central Bank now faces the problem of too much liquidity and too high interest rates,” Askar Akhmedov, senior analyst at Halyk Finance, part of one of the largest Kazakh banks, said in a report.

Secondly, analysts said the Central Bank’s policy of increasing interest rates on tenge savings in banks to 14% from 10%, in addition to dropping the interest paid on foreign currency savings to 2% from 3% was working.

On the streets of Almaty this more positive view of the tenge was, generally, reflected.

A pensioner said: “It is our national currency, and I trust it but the 50% drop in its value was unpleasant, especially for pensioners.”

Most people that the Bulletin’s correspondent in Almaty spoke to agreed, and it will be a relief to President Nursultan Nazarbayev and the Kazakh government that confidence in the tenge is returning after a torrid 2015.

There were some who took a more cautious approach, though.

“Nowadays the position of the tenge is unsteady and it may weaken again. If I had to choose between tenge and dollar to put money in deposit, I’d probably choose dollar,” said Aigerim, a music teacher.

ENDS

Copyright ©The Conway Bulletin — all rights reserved

(News report from Issue No. 275, published on April 8 2016)

 

Kazakh businessman to chair KazKom

APRIL 1 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Kenes Rakishev, a businessman favoured by the Kazakh political elite to front companies they are linked with, was nominated to become chairman of Kazkommerts- bank. Mr Rakishev, 36, has steadily increased his stake in Kaz- kommertsbank over the past couple of years. He led the merger between Kazkommertsbank and BTA Bank which was riddled with debt. Analysts said that the merger of Kaz- kommertsbank with BTA Bank was driven as much by politics as it was by business motives.

ENDS

Copyright ©The Conway Bulletin — all rights reserved

(News report from Issue No. 275, published on  April 8 2016)

Oil export ban is illogical, says ex-Kyrgyz official

APRIL 1 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – For the past six years, there has been an informal ban on petroleum exports from Kazakhstan to Kyrgyzstan, former president of Kyrgyzstan’s Oil Traders Association, Zhumakadyr Akeneyev, said at a conference in Bishkek. According to him this practice is illogical within the framework of the Eurasian Economic Union and it has caused a rise in illegal trading. Kyrgyzstan imports almost all its petroleum products from Russia.

ENDS

Copyright ©The Conway Bulletin — all rights reserved

(News report from Issue No. 275, published on April 8 2016)

 

Kazakhstan’s KMG EP ditches dividend payout for the first time

ALMATY, MARCH 31 2016, (The Conway Bulletin) — KMG EP, a subsidiary of Kazakhstan’s state-owned Kazmunaigas, said it will not pay dividends this year for the first time in a decade, reflecting the impact of low oil prices on the company.

KMG EP had paid dividends each year since its IPO on the London Stock Exchange in 2006.

“The board of directors has recommended not to pay dividends on ordinary shares,” the company said in a statement.

“The decision not to pay dividends is caused by a sharp decline in oil prices since the end of 2014, as a result of which the company’s cash flow and operating profit turned negative.”

The board decided to override an earlier recommendation from the company’s independent directors to pay out dividends this year.

KMG EP’s revenues collapsed by 37% in 2015. Oil prices have fallen from around $120/barrel in June 2014 to around $40/barrel now. Earlier this year oil cost less than $30/barrel.

ENDS

Copyright ©The Conway Bulletin — all rights reserved

(News report from Issue No. 274, published on  April 1 2016)

 

Petronas to start drilling in Turkmen Caspian Sea

MARCH 31 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Petronas Carigali, a subsidiary of Malaysia’s largest energy company, said it is ready to start drilling at the Garagol Deniz West field in the Turkmen section of the Caspian Sea. The company is also about to complete a pipeline connection from the field to the onshore processing facility. Petronas is an active player in Turkmenistan’s gas sector.

ENDS

Copyright ©The Conway Bulletin — all rights reserved

(News report from Issue No. 274, published on  April 1 2016)

 

Azerbaijan’s SOCAR sells Petkim shares

MARCH 29 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – Azerbaijan’s state-owned energy company SOCAR said it sold part of its stake in the Petkim petrochemical project in Turkey. SOCAR’s subsidiary Socar Turkey Enerji, which controls its Turkish operations, said it sold a 2.75% stake for 147mn liras ($51mn). Socar Turkey Enerji still retains a 56.32% stake in Petkim. SOCAR has been looking to raise cash recently.

ENDS

Copyright ©The Conway Bulletin — all rights reserved

(News report from Issue No. 274, published on  April 1 2016)

 

Armenian CBank cuts rates

MARCH 30 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – The Armenian Central Bank said it cut interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point to 8.25%, just over a month after the previous rate cut. The Bank said this is in line with the policy of easing the cost of borrowing and other monetary instruments. Economic activity in the country is shrinking and the Central Bank wants to boost it gradually by cutting rates.

ENDS

Copyright ©The Conway Bulletin — all rights reserved

(News report from Issue No. 274, published on April 1 2016)

 

BPC Engineering and Kazakh gov. make turbine deal

MARCH 29 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – BPC Engineering, the Russian distributor of California-based Capstone Turbine, said it reached an agreement with the Kazakh government to supply seven micro-turbines for the Beineu-Shymkent gas pipeline. Around 50 micro-turbines are needed in the pipeline, part of a $3.5b project to pump gas from west to south Kazakhstan.

ENDS

Copyright ©The Conway Bulletin — all rights reserved

(News report from Issue No. 274, published on  April 1 2016)

 

Kazakhstan releases activists

MARCH 30 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – A court of appeal in Kazakhstan suspended prison sentences handed out to two Kazakh activists in January. Yermek Narymbayev and Serikzhan Mambetalin, imprisoned for posting messages on Facebook that the authorities said spread racial hatred, were released from prison and put under house arrest. Human rights activists saw this as a conciliatory move towards the EU ahead of President Nursultan Nazarbayev’s visit to Brussels.

ENDS

Copyright ©The Conway Bulletin — all rights reserved

(News report from Issue No. 274, published on April 1 2016)

 

Business comment: SOCAR & The EU

APRIL 1 2016 (The Conway Bulletin) – SOCAR said it hopes to solve the DESFA affair by the end of the year, but should Fluxys’ shareholders officially decide to back out of an earlier plan to buy part of the Greek company, Azerbaijan’s state-owned company will find it hard to comply with EU regulations.

The so-called Third Energy Package is a set of regulations the EU adopted in 2009 with the objective of liberalising its energy market, chiefly by separating the ownership of upstream, midstream and downstream operations, a process known as “unbundling” in Brussels.

According to these rules, SOCAR cannot buy, as it wished, a majority stake in DESFA, the Greek gas distributor.

That would effectively mean that the gas supplier would own the distributor as well.

SOCAR also owns a majority stake in TANAP, a pipeline running across Turkey. SOCAR is allowed to keep its 58% share in TANAP because it lies outside EU jurisdiction.

But when in 2013 it agreed a deal to buy 66% of the debt-ridden Greek company for €400m ($454m), the European Commission stepped in and froze the purchase. It said that SOCAR could own 49% of DESF but no more.

For a year now, SOCAR has tried to find buyers for part of the 66% stake it agreed to buy. If Fluxys flakes, Italian Snam Rete Gas and Dutch Gasunie could be next in line.

Even though SOCAR has become a good friend of the EU for its key role in the completion of the Southern Gas Corridor project, seen by Europe as a viable alternative to gas from Russia, it apparently cannot escape the severe hand of the EU’s army of regulators.

ENDS

Copyright ©The Conway Bulletin — all rights reserved

(News report from Issue No. 274, published on  April 1 2016)